{"id":349113,"date":"2025-05-27T12:00:40","date_gmt":"2025-05-27T16:00:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=349113"},"modified":"2025-05-27T12:00:40","modified_gmt":"2025-05-27T16:00:40","slug":"knicks-vs-pacers-prop-picks-game-4-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/knicks-vs-pacers-prop-picks-game-4-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Knicks vs. Pacers prop picks Game 4: Fade Brunson, look for Nembhard to stay consistent"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Despite a dud from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/jalen_brunson\">Jalen Brunson<\/a>, the New York Knicks got into the win column in Game 3 and can level the Eastern Conference finals on Tuesday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Brunson finished with 23 points on 6-of-18 shooting, and he spent the majority of the final quarter glued to the bench. The Indiana Pacers are 2.5-point home favourites to win tonight and claim a commanding 3-1 series lead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m targeting Brunson and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/andrew_nembhard\">Andrew Nembhard<\/a> in my Knicks vs. Pacers prop picks for Game 4 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on May 27.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Knicks vs. Pacers prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Nembhard over 11.5 points (-108)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nembhard fits in perfectly with the Pacers, a team built on depth over superstardom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Though he&#8217;s unlikely to put up gaudy volume stats, the Aurora, Ontario, native is an expert in efficiency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His 50.0\/50.0\/83.3 shooting splits are superb. And there are enough opportunities on a nightly basis for me to feel good about this point total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out his averages through 13 playoff games:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>14.0 points\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>10.5 field-goal attempts\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>33.6 minutes\/game<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Those averages make this total look well within reach, and the steadiness of Nembhard&#8217;s stat lines backs it up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has attempted seven-plus shots in every game while playing 30-plus minutes in 11 of 13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I don&#8217;t mind that Nembhard is coming off a 2-for-9 shooting effort. A night like that has been an anomaly, and his high floor overall makes this play worthwhile. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Nembhard has gone over 11.5 points in nine of 13 postseason games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:114218\">Embed: #114218<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nba\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full NBA betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Game 4 prop prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Brunson under 30.5 points (-127):<\/strong> With a little juice, I think this price is worth it to fade Brunson on the road at a big number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His home\/road splits in the playoffs aren&#8217;t wildly different, but there are still notable discrepancies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Home (8 games):<\/strong> 31.9 PPG, 47.8 FG%, 36.5 3PT%, 8.8 free throws\/game<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Road (7 games):<\/strong> 27.6 PPG, 41.7 FG%, 33.3 3PT%, 7.6 free throws\/game<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Brunson has now gone under this total in four straight road games, as well as five of seven overall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has also struggled to stay out of foul trouble, committing 13 fouls through three games in this series. That sort of behaviour can bite into his minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Knicks staged a fourth-quarter comeback largely without Brunson in Game 3, so maybe they don&#8217;t need to lean on him quite as hard as many people think.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Knicks vs. Pacers prop picks made at 11:32 a.m. ET 05\/27\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite a dud from Jalen Brunson, the New York Knicks got into the win column in Game 3 and can level the Eastern Conference finals on Tuesday night. The pregame narrative: Brunson finished with 23 points on 6-of-18 shooting, and he spent the majority of the final quarter glued to the bench. The Indiana Pacers [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":349114,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-349113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Knicks vs. Pacers picks: NBA Game 4 prop predictions | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Game 4 Knicks vs. Pacers picks. 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