{"id":348706,"date":"2025-05-24T09:43:17","date_gmt":"2025-05-24T13:43:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=348706"},"modified":"2025-05-24T09:43:17","modified_gmt":"2025-05-24T13:43:17","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-rays-may-24-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-rays-may-24-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs. Rays prop picks May 24: Varsho has plus-money value to power up Toronto"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays lost a low-scoring battle against the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday night, but Saturday&#8217;s rematch could be a different story.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> The last time Shane Baz and Jose Berrios met on the mound was less than two weeks ago, and the result was an 11-9 win for the Rays. Tonight&#8217;s game has an over\/under of 9 runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Blue Jays vs. Rays prop picks on May 24, featuring <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/daulton_varsho\/batting-stats\">Daulton Varsho<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/josh_lowe\/batting-stats\">Josh Lowe<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays picks vs. Rays<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Varsho over 1.5 bases (+115)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Varsho has a lot of all-or-nothing in his offensive profile right now. That&#8217;s fine with me, though, because I know he can cash this bet with one swing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Varsho is striking out at a staggering 33.3% clip, and his .225 xBA is among the lowest in the majors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But he&#8217;s also in elite company in terms of barrel rate (19.1%) and xSLG (.540), per Baseball Savant. MLB averages this season are an 8.7% barrel rate and a .424 xSLG.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of his 14 hits, 11 have gone for extra bases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That includes a frozen-rope home run on May 13 that Varsho hit off Tampa right-hander Shane Baz, who will be on the mound again tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Varsho tagged an inside fastball from Baz for a 113.9 mph exit velocity \u2014 the hardest-hit ball of his career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Baz is having a rough go of it in May, allowing 21 runs on 30 hits in just 19.2 innings (9.61 ERA). His opponents have posted a .675 SLG in that span, which is higher than Shohei Ohtani&#8217;s season-long mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Varsho has gone over 1.5 bases in five of his past seven games, as well as in nine of 17 starts on the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:114114\">Embed: #114114<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\">Full MLB betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\">MLB injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\">MLB stats &amp; standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Lowe over 0.5 runs (-107):<\/strong> After battling an oblique strain for a month and a half, Lowe is back and producing for the Rays. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Through nine games, he has a .281\/.324\/.563 slash line. And his .287 xBA suggests that there hasn&#8217;t been any excessive batted-ball luck so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I looked at Lowe&#8217;s bases prop, but I think there&#8217;s just as much value on him to score a run. The left-hitting outfielder has a platoon advantage tonight and should be up in the No. 1 or 2 spot in the Rays&#8217; order.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When a lefty is on the mound, Lowe typically bats in the No. 6 or 7 spot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lowe is 4-for-13 (.308) with a double against Berrios. As a team, Tampa Bay owns a .500 SLG vs. Berrios in 104 at-bats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Blue Jays vs. Rays picks made at 9:20 a.m. ET on 05\/24\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Toronto Blue Jays lost a low-scoring battle against the Tampa Bay Rays on Friday night, but Saturday&#8217;s rematch could be a different story. The pregame narrative: The last time Shane Baz and Jose Berrios met on the mound was less than two weeks ago, and the result was an 11-9 win for the Rays. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":348709,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-348706","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays picks vs. Rays: May 24 MLB betting | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks vs. Rays for May 24, 2025. 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