{"id":348617,"date":"2025-05-23T16:07:48","date_gmt":"2025-05-23T20:07:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=348617"},"modified":"2025-05-28T12:32:28","modified_gmt":"2025-05-28T16:32:28","slug":"french-open-round-of-64-predictions-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/french-open-round-of-64-predictions-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"French Open first-round Canadian men’s predictions: Best bets on Shapovalov, Auger-Aliassime and Diallo"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The round of 64 at Roland-Garros begins on Sunday with three Canadians in action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Felix Auger-Aliassime is the highest ranked of the bunch, but he’s been struggling lately despite a semifinal appearance at the Hamburg Open. Denis Shapovalov looks to get his season on track, and Gabriel Diallo will participate in his second Grand Slam major.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my top French Open predictions for the men’s tennis matches on May 26.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

French Open predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Matteo Arnaldi to beat Auger-Aliassime (+102)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Both players took part in events earlier this week. As mentioned, the Canadian had a deep run at the Hamburg Open, while Arnaldi lost in the quarterfinal of the Geneva Open.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Auger-Aliassime had a good year on clay in 2024, posting a 17-8 record. But his 3-5 start to this season shows regression over improvement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

His Italian counterpart made a run at the Madrid Open, beating Novak Djokovic and Frances Tiafoe in straight sets before being eliminated by a red-hot Jack Draper.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Arnaldi looked primed for another run in Geneva before running into Djokovic once again and losing this time around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Those are acceptable losses to two top-10 players and don’t take away from his successful month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 24-year-old went 115-45 on clay between 2021-23. He had a tough 2024 due to injury and a slow start to this season, but he appears to be finding his form again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the other side, Auger-Aliassime has never been amazing on clay. Plus, he hasn’t been playing well over the past couple of months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Auger-Aliassime has a 4-8 record since March 1, with six of those losses coming against opponents ranked outside of the top 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Full French Open betting markets<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fade the Canadians<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Pedro Martinez +1.5 sets vs. Shapovalov (-108):<\/strong> Neither of these players has been impressive to start 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shapovalov is 13-10 overall but 1-4 on clay, which is what’s important heading into Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

His opponent hasn’t been any better, as Martinez has a 6-10 record on the red dirt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If we scope out, though, and look at their careers overall, Martinez is an experienced player on clay. He has a 360-198 career record on the surface.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Since the start of 2022, Shapovalov is 13-17 on clay. During that time, the Argentine is 100-74. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He doesn’t have to win, but I like Martinez’s chances of keeping this match close enough for this wager to cash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Francisco Cerundolo -2.5 sets vs. Diallo (+100):<\/strong> There’s little room for error with this pick, but I also see value in this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Diallo won their first career matchup back in October, but it was on a hardcourt surface, and Cerundolo is nothing short of a clay specialist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 26-year-old’s 274-118 (69.9% win rate) rivals the best in the world. It also dwarfs his 41-37 record on hard surfaces.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He has a 19-8 record on clay in 2025, including two wins over No. 3-ranked Alexander Zverev.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Diallo has a 7-6 record on clay this season (16-14 overall). I’ll happily find a way to back the experience of Cerundolo at plus money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

French Open predictions made at 1:54 p.m. on 05\/23\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The round of 64 at Roland-Garros begins on Sunday with three Canadians in action. The pregame narrative: Felix Auger-Aliassime is the highest ranked of the bunch, but he’s been struggling lately despite a semifinal appearance at the Hamburg Open. Denis Shapovalov looks to get his season on track, and Gabriel Diallo will participate in his […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":348650,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[129],"class_list":["post-348617","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","tag-tennis-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nFrench Open predictions round of 64: Canadian best bets | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our French Open predictions for the round of 64. 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