{"id":347985,"date":"2025-05-19T11:44:01","date_gmt":"2025-05-19T15:44:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=347985"},"modified":"2025-05-19T11:44:01","modified_gmt":"2025-05-19T15:44:01","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets May 19: Fade Schwarber, look for Ray and Greene to shine on Monday"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Half of MLB is in action on Monday evening to kick off a new week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative:<\/strong> The Toronto Blue Jays aren&#8217;t playing, but Jays fans can catch <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/robbie_ray\/pitching-stats\">Robbie Ray<\/a> on the mound as the Giants host the Royals out west. In the game with the highest projected total on the slate, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/kyle_schwarber\/batting-stats\">Kyle Schwarber<\/a> and the Phillies visit the Rockies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my MLB prop bets for May 19, featuring Ray, Schwarber and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/riley_greene\/batting-stats\">Riley Greene<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Ray over 5.5 Ks (-113)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ray has been the quintessential effectively wild pitcher so far in 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The veteran southpaw leads the NL in walks (26), yet he&#8217;s 6-0 with a 3.04 ERA. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And his FIP (3.74) is practically identical to what it was when he earned 2021 AL Cy Young honours with Toronto (3.69).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Though he ranks in the 12th percentile in walk rate, per Baseball Savant, Ray has overcome that issue by ranking in the 75th and 77th percentiles in K rate and whiff rate, respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has a knack for putting out his own fires. As his opponent tonight knows too well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Against the active Kansas City Royals lineup, Ray has racked up 28 Ks in just 66 plate appearances \u2014 good for a staggering 42.4 K%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Royals have the second-lowest K rate in the majors (18.9%), which is why this number is set fairly low for someone of Ray&#8217;s pedigree.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, the head-to-head history against KC&#8217;s lineup is encouraging. As are Ray&#8217;s recent outings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his past seven starts, Ray is 5-2 vs. this prop while averaging 7.0 Ks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> The average MLB whiff rate is 25.2%. Three of Ray&#8217;s four pitch offerings have a whiff rate of 34.5% or greater.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:113965\">Embed: #113965<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Schwarber under 0.5 runs (+155):<\/strong> The Phillies are facing a struggling pitcher (Kyle Freeland, 6.15 ERA) tonight in the very welcoming offensive environment of Coors Field. Still, this price looks off to me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Schwarber is no longer the Phillies&#8217; leadoff man, where his run-scoring potential was maximized. In early April, he was moved down in the order, and now he consistently bats third or fourth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s still a great spot to mash, but it makes him less likely to cross the plate himself.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his past 25 games \u2014 all as the No. 3 or 4 hitter \u2014 Schwarber has gone under 0.5 runs 13 times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a dangerous play, but I think there&#8217;s serious upside based on the price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, Schwarber is just 2-for-15 with seven Ks and zero walks against Colorado&#8217;s Freeland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Greene over 1.5 bases (+120):<\/strong> Against right-handed pitching, Greene is absolutely worth a flier on his bases prop right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The left-hitting outfielder has a .317\/.354\/.618 slash line against RHPs this season (compared to a .182\/.274\/.273 line vs. LHPs).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Greene has 2+ bases in 6 of his past 8 games. In the two outliers, he went 0-for-5 with three Ks against lefty pitchers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Greene will face right-hander Sonny Gray tonight, and Gray isn&#8217;t exactly coming in hot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over his past four starts, Gray has allowed 26 hits and a .500 SLG over 21.0 innings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With a 91st-percentile barrel rate (16.3%), Greene has made a habit of delivering the highest-possible contact quality for the Tigers. When he has the platoon advantage, watch out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>MLB prop picks made at 11:20 a.m. ET on 05\/19\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Half of MLB is in action on Monday evening to kick off a new week. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: The Toronto Blue Jays aren&#8217;t playing, but Jays fans can catch Robbie Ray on the mound as the Giants host the Royals out west. In the game with the highest projected total on the slate, Kyle [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":348025,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-347985","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets May 19: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for May 19, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday&#039;s MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MLB prop bets May 19: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for May 19, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday&#039;s MLB games.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-05-19T15:44:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/05\/Robbie-Ray-Riley-Greene-Kyle-Schwarber.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025\/\",\"name\":\"MLB prop bets May 19: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-05-19T15:44:01+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-05-19T15:44:01+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for May 19, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday's MLB games.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\",\"name\":\"Jordan Horrobin\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Jordan Horrobin\"},\"description\":\"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\",\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"MLB prop bets May 19: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for May 19, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday's MLB games.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"MLB prop bets May 19: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","og_description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for May 19, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday's MLB games.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2025-05-19T15:44:01+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":800,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/05\/Robbie-Ray-Riley-Greene-Kyle-Schwarber.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Jordan Horrobin","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@JordanHorrobin","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jordan Horrobin","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025\/","name":"MLB prop bets May 19: Picks, predictions & odds | NorthStar Bets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-05-19T15:44:01+00:00","dateModified":"2025-05-19T15:44:01+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f"},"description":"Check out our best MLB prop bets for May 19, 2025. Baseball betting odds and predictions for Monday's MLB games.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-19-2025\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f","name":"Jordan Horrobin","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/11\/IMG_7764.jpg","caption":"Jordan Horrobin"},"description":"Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles \u2014 especially for MLB markets or NFL\/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he\u2019ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news","https:\/\/twitter.com\/JordanHorrobin"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/jordan-horrobinnorthstargaming-ca\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/347985","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=347985"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/347985\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":348036,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/347985\/revisions\/348036"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/348025"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=347985"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=347985"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=347985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}