{"id":347446,"date":"2025-05-18T09:43:28","date_gmt":"2025-05-18T13:43:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=347446"},"modified":"2025-05-18T09:43:28","modified_gmt":"2025-05-18T13:43:28","slug":"nuggets-vs-thunder-game-7-nba-sgp-predictions-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nuggets-vs-thunder-game-7-nba-sgp-predictions-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Nuggets vs. Thunder SGP predictions Game 7: Back Gilgeous-Alexander and Holmgren at +290"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder battle for a spot in the Western Conference final on Sunday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Denver staved off elimination at home on Thursday but is a sizeable underdog to win Game 7 at Paycom Center, where OKC is 39-7 this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander captured the scoring title this season, and the Canadian is odds-on to score 30 points today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Nuggets vs. Thunder SGP predictions for May 18, featuring <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/shai_gilgeous_alexander\">Gilgeous-Alexander<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/chet_holmgren\">Chet Holmgren<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Nuggets +10.5 | Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points | Holmgren 8+ rebounds (+290)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Nuggets +10.5 (-167): <\/strong>Beating the Thunder at home is a tough ask, and I&#8217;m not sure the Nuggets can do it, even with a superhuman effort from Nikola Jokic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I do like Denver&#8217;s chances of keeping this one close for a few reasons:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Nuggets are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>They have covered a +10.5 spread in 11 of 13 playoff games, including five of six games this series.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Denver is 12-9-1 ATS as a road underdog this season, losing those games by an average of just 3.3 points.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Oklahoma City had a historically efficient season, posting the second-best net rating of all time. However, its young core doesn&#8217;t have much playoff experience, while the Jokic-led Nuggets have been to and won the NBA Finals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I can see the Thunder starting this game off slightly shaky, and this coming down to the wire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:113908\">Embed: #113908<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nba\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full NBA betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NBA SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ points<\/strong><\/strong> (-165):<\/strong> One player I trust to fill the basket for OKC is Gilgeous-Alexander, which isn&#8217;t a hot take considering the Canadian averaged a league-best 32.7 PPG this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SGA has scored 30-plus points in all three home games this series, while shooting a combined 35-of-62 (56.4%) from the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Barring a blowout, which I don&#8217;t anticipate happening, Gilgeous-Alexander should get plenty of run and take around 20 shots. That type of volume puts us in good shape, especially considering SGA&#8217;s frequent trips to the free-throw line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SGA has scored at least 25 points in 13 of his last 14 games against Denver, reaching this milestone eight times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Holmgren 8+ rebounds <\/strong>(-278)<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>: Holmgren has stepped his game up as a rebounder this series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The 7-foot-1 forward is averaging a team-high 10.8 rebounds per game against Denver&#8217;s imposing frontcourt.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He cleared this mark in five straight games, logging double-digit boards in four of them. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Holmgren is 8-2 vs. this milestone in the playoffs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>I like Holmgren&#8217;s chances of having another big night on the glass as long as he stays out of early foul trouble. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions made at 9:40 a.m. ET 05\/18\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder battle for a spot in the Western Conference final on Sunday. The pregame narrative: Denver staved off elimination at home on Thursday but is a sizeable underdog to win Game 7 at Paycom Center, where OKC is 39-7 this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander captured the scoring title this season, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":347482,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-347446","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions Game 7: NBA playoffs SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Game 7 Nuggets vs. Thunder SGP predictions. 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