{"id":346532,"date":"2025-05-15T10:37:02","date_gmt":"2025-05-15T14:37:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=346532"},"modified":"2025-05-15T10:37:02","modified_gmt":"2025-05-15T14:37:02","slug":"thunder-vs-nuggets-game-6-nba-sgp-predictions-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/thunder-vs-nuggets-game-6-nba-sgp-predictions-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Thunder vs. Nuggets SGP predictions Game 6: Back Holmgren to record a double-double at +440"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets meet in an elimination game at altitude on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> OKC is one win away from its first conference championship in the Shai Gilgeous-Alexander era. Denver is 18-6 at home in the playoffs over the last three seasons but is an underdog to force a winner-take-all Game 7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Thunder vs. Nuggets SGP predictions for May 15, featuring <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/nikola_jokic\">Nikola Jokic<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/chet_holmgren\">Chet Holmgren<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Thunder moneyline | Holmgren double-double | Jokic 2+ threes (+440)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Thunder moneyline<\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong>(-195):<\/strong> Denver is never a pushover at home, but I expect OKC&#8217;s depth to come through in a tightly-contested game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SGA and Jokic tend to cancel each other out, and the Thunder are getting a lot more out of their secondary players:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>OKC bench:<\/strong> 34.3 PPG (5th in playoffs)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>DEN bench:<\/strong> 20.0 PPG (13th in playoffs)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Thunder are 33-8 straight up as road favourites this year, winning those games by an average of 9.9 points. They also had the best road net rating (+10.5) during the regular season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:113783\">Embed: #113783<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nba\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full NBA betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NBA SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Holmgren double-double <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>(+125):<\/strong> This leg really boosts the SGP&#8217;s value. Outside of Game 1, where he finished with 12 points and six rebounds, Holmgren has hit or threatened this line every night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Holmgren is averaging a double-double this series (13.4 points, 10.8 rebounds), cashing this bet in Games 2 and 3.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He had eight points and 13 rebounds in Game 4 and 14 points and eight rebounds in Game 5.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Nabbing 10 points shouldn&#8217;t be a problem for Holmgren. He&#8217;s done that in 13 of his last 14 games and is -420 to reach the milestone on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 7-foot-1 power forward is averaging 12.0 rebounds in his last four games, and I expect another strong effort on the glass tonight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Jokic 2+ threes (-162)<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>: Jokic is going to eat up massive minutes and take a ton of shots tonight \u2014 that&#8217;s a given. Just take a look at what the three-time MVP has done since Game 2:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Game 3:<\/strong> 20 points (0-for-10 from deep), 44 minutes<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Game 4:<\/strong> 27 points (2-for-8 from deep), 43 minutes<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Game 5:<\/strong> 44 points (5-of-7 from deep), 44 minutes<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If we get anywhere near that type of 3-point volume again, this should be a cinch. Jokic is 4-1 against this line vs. OKC and is coming off his best regular season on the perimeter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He averaged 2.0 makes on 4.7 attempts (41.7%) from deep.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions made at 9:10 a.m. ET 05\/15\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets meet in an elimination game at altitude on Thursday. The pregame narrative: OKC is one win away from its first conference championship in the Shai Gilgeous-Alexander era. Denver is 18-6 at home in the playoffs over the last three seasons but is an underdog to force a winner-take-all [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":346548,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-346532","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions Game 6: NBA playoffs SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Game 6 Thunder vs. Nuggets SGP predictions. 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