{"id":346486,"date":"2025-05-14T16:11:18","date_gmt":"2025-05-14T20:11:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=346486"},"modified":"2025-05-14T16:11:19","modified_gmt":"2025-05-14T20:11:19","slug":"thunder-vs-nuggets-prop-picks-game-6-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/thunder-vs-nuggets-prop-picks-game-6-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Thunder vs. Nuggets prop picks Game 6: Bet on Jokic, Hartenstein to make noise"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/nikola_jokic\">Nikola Jokic<\/a> and the Denver Nuggets look to defend home court on Thursday night and push this second-round series to a Game 7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Jokic dropped 44 points last time out, but his Nuggets came up short on the road against the Oklahoma City Thunder. OKC (-139) is now the odds-on favourite to win the NBA Finals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m backing Jokic and Thunder big man <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/isaiah_hartenstein\">Isaiah Hartenstein<\/a> in my Thunder vs. Nuggets prop picks for Game 6 on May 15.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Thunder vs. Nuggets prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Jokic over 27.5 points (-130)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jokic is everything to the Nuggets, and with their season on the line, I expect him to have a huge night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At 30.0 points, 14.8 rebounds and 5.2 assists, Jokic is leading Denver in all major statistical categories this series. He&#8217;s even the steals leader (2.0\/game).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m focused on the scoring aspect, though, because I think this is a more palatable number than the overs on some of his other markets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s a simplified stance, but I definitely expect Jokic to be more ball-dominant than usual in a do-or-die game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Look at Jokic&#8217;s deployment in each of the past three games:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>42+ minutes<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>22+ shot attempts<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li> 7+ attempted 3s<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Jokic hadn&#8217;t played that many minutes in three straight games at any other point in the season. And he hadn&#8217;t attempted 22-plus shots in three straight since early December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It should surprise no one that this three-time MVP is putting his team on his back again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jokic has only gone over 27.5 points in four of 12 playoff games. But two of those were 40-plus-point efforts against the Thunder \u2014 including a 44-point night in Game 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think the dire circumstances will push Jokic to another hefty point total on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Jokic has cashed this bet in 42 of 82 games this year (playoffs included). He averaged a career-high 29.6 PPG during the regular season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:113769\">Embed: #113769<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nba\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full NBA betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Game 6 prop prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hartenstein over 19.5 points\/rebounds (-122):<\/strong> He&#8217;s not the star of the show in OKC (far from it, actually), but Hartenstein is doing what is asked of him this postseason.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Simply put, he&#8217;s a big body who produces a solid rebounding output and some relatively efficient shooting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And he&#8217;s been excellently reliable against this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Hartenstein is averaging 10.6 points and 9.2 rebounds this postseason. He is 7-2 against this prop.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Against the Nuggets in particular, Hartenstein has averaged 22.1 PR in seven matchups on the year, going 7-0 against this prop.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The 7-feet, 255-pound centre is unlikely to have a huge night as a scorer. But he&#8217;s a consistent double-double threat, and his high floor as a rebounder has yielded great success in this prop market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Nuggets vs. Thunder prop picks made at 3:48 p.m. ET 05\/14\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets look to defend home court on Thursday night and push this second-round series to a Game 7. The pregame narrative: Jokic dropped 44 points last time out, but his Nuggets came up short on the road against the Oklahoma City Thunder. OKC (-139) is now the odds-on favourite to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":346507,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-346486","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Thunder vs. Nuggets picks: NBA Game 6 prop predictions | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Game 6 Thunder vs. Nuggets picks. 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