{"id":346417,"date":"2025-05-14T11:26:15","date_gmt":"2025-05-14T15:26:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=346417"},"modified":"2025-05-14T11:26:15","modified_gmt":"2025-05-14T15:26:15","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-rays-may-14-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-rays-may-14-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Rays vs. Blue Jays prop picks May 14: Bet on Bo Bichette, Jonathan Aranda to power up"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A high-scoring series opener didn&#8217;t go the Toronto Blue Jays&#8217; way, but they&#8217;re back at it on Wednesday night against the Tampa Bay Rays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Tampa scored five runs in the ninth to claw out an 11-9 victory at Rogers Centre on Tuesday. I expect a decent amount of offence tonight as well, despite the over\/under being set at just 8 runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m backing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/jonathan_aranda\/batting-stats\">Jonathan Aranda<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/brandon_lowe\/batting-stats\">Brandon Lowe<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/bo_bichette\/batting-stats\">Bo Bichette<\/a> to shine in my Blue Jays picks vs. the Rays on May 14.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays picks vs. Rays<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\">Best Bet<\/a>: Aranda over 1.5 bases (+123)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aranda cashed this bet in the third inning last night, sending a 433-foot blast into the seats in right field at Rogers Centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I see plenty of reasons to go back to the well with Aranda, whose .996 OPS ranks fifth in MLB.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you missed yesterday&#8217;s breakdown of this very same pick, here&#8217;s a quick summary: Aranda has some of the best bat-to-ball production in the majors so far, and he&#8217;s particularly lethal against right-handed pitching.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>According to Baseball Savant, Aranda ranks in 95th percentile or better in xBA, xSLG, average exit velocity and hard-hit rate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has a .372\/.444\/.660 slash line vs. RHPs this season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In his career, Aranda has an .820 OPS vs. RHPs and a .511 OPS vs. LHPs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>So far, Toronto righty Chris Bassitt has held Aranda (0-for-6, three Ks) in check. But that&#8217;s a tiny sample.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bassitt&#8217;s numbers against left-hitting opponents are suspect. Since 2023, lefty batsmen have posted a .284\/.360\/.492 slash line against him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Furthermore, Bassitt has been touched up quite a bit in recent outings. In his past four starts, the veteran has allowed 16 runs on 28 hits (6.04 ERA) over 22.1 innings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> In 31 starts, Aranda has gone over 1.5 bases 16 times this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:113744\">Embed: #113744<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\">Full MLB betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\">MLB injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\">MLB stats &amp; standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\">Lowe over 0.5 runs (+140)<\/a>:<\/strong> Lowe&#8217;s 2025 season has been shaky to say the least. But I love this price for a guy who wields a platoon advantage and bats two spots ahead of Aranda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a left-hitting player, Lowe will have the same leg up on Bassitt that Aranda does. Lowe has an .821 career OPS against righties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Against Bassitt in particular, Lowe is 5-for-11 with three home runs, a double and a walk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Head-to-head results aren&#8217;t everything, but they certainly don&#8217;t hurt in this case. Bassitt is reeling, and Lowe should be in a prime position to score from Tampa&#8217;s No. 2 spot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\">Bichette over 1.5 bases (+105)<\/a>:<\/strong> Bichette is in a rhythm right now, and a better-than-even-money price on multiple bases has my attention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out what the shortstop has accomplished since April 29:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>16-for-55 (.291)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>.545 SLG<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2+ bases in 8 of 13 games<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2.3 bases\/game<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Bichette&#8217;s .322 xBA ranks in the 98th percentile in MLB, and his .515 xSLG ranks in the 82nd percentile. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has more doubles (13) than walks (12), so you know he&#8217;s up there to swing the bat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tampa Bay starter Ryan Pepiot has allowed a .494 SLG to opponents this year. And his xERA (4.43) is notably higher than his actual ERA (3.86).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bichette has never faced Pepiot, but I&#8217;m not expecting this matchup to slow the Jays&#8217; star down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Rays vs. Blue Jays picks made at 11:11 a.m. ET on 05\/14\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"thestar\">Looking to get started? <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNzQxMyZsPTEzNTI3NDExJnA9MjMyNDM%3D\">Sign up here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A high-scoring series opener didn&#8217;t go the Toronto Blue Jays&#8217; way, but they&#8217;re back at it on Wednesday night against the Tampa Bay Rays. The pregame narrative: Tampa scored five runs in the ninth to claw out an 11-9 victory at Rogers Centre on Tuesday. I expect a decent amount of offence tonight as well, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":346430,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-346417","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays picks vs. Rays: May 14 MLB betting | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks vs. Rays for May 14, 2025. 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