{"id":346321,"date":"2025-05-13T13:05:53","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T17:05:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=346321"},"modified":"2025-05-13T14:03:28","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T18:03:28","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-13","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-13\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets May 13: Back Arizona&#8217;s Pfaadt and Twins&#8217; Buxton, Lewis"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\">All 30 MLB teams are in action for Tuesday&#8217;s busy baseball slate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: The red-hot Minnesota Twins have won eight in a row to move over .500, and I like a pair of their players to deliver against the Baltimore Orioles tonight. I&#8217;m rounding out the night with a play on Arizona Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\">Check out the best MLB prop bets for May 13, featuring picks on Byron Buxton and Royce Lewis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Buxton over 0.5 runs (-106)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a great matchup for Twins hitters, particularly their right-handed batters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Orioles starter Cade Povich has been punished by righty bats, and Rotowire projects Minnesota to stack its lineup exclusively of RHBs and switch-hitters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Povich could be in for a long night. Righties are hitting .322\/.371\/.557 off the southpaw. He&#8217;s allowed seven homers, all of them to right-handers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are several props I\u2019m interested in for this game. This looks like a great option to me, and it\u2019s priced well. I have a longer-shot recommendation, too, but let&#8217;s start with Buxton.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Buxton is second in the American League in runs scored (30), trailing only Aaron Judge. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The outfielder has hit leadoff in seven straight contests, which is where he should be again vs. an Orioles team allowing an AL-worst 5.44 runs per game.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Buxton has gotten on base multiple times in seven of 10 May games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The oft-injured 31-year-old has been hitting for solid power this season, but he&#8217;s been especially dynamic against lefties and is an excellent bet to get on base in a plus matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Buxton enters the night with a robust .346\/.370\/.692 mark vs. LHPs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Lewis over 0.5 RBI (+180):<\/strong> Sticking with the Twins, this looks like strong value for the slumping Lewis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Another injury-plagued Twin, Lewis missed all of April with a hamstring strain before a return in early May.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He proceeded to go hitless in five straight games to start the season before a two-hit game on Sunday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The former No. 1 overall pick is likely a middle-of-the-order bat when clicking. It&#8217;s tough to say where he&#8217;ll bat tonight, but he has slotted seventh in four of his six games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Higher up and directly behind Carlos Correa would be nice (1.119 OPS vs. LHPs), but Lewis should still find himself in run-producing situations if lower in the lineup. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I have little trust in Povich or Baltimore&#8217;s bullpen (5.05 ERA), and the right-handed hitting Lewis has well-above average power (career 124 wRC+, .222 ISO).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pfaadt over 17.5 outs (-143)<\/strong>: Pfaadt is off to a strong start, taking a 3.28 ERA and career-low walk rate into tonight&#8217;s outing vs. the San Francisco Giants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The righty is 6-2 vs. this line and cleared it in 19 of 32 starts in last year&#8217;s sophomore season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He runs into a Giants team that&#8217;s scuffling at the dish, producing below-average offence with the fifth-highest K rate in baseball over the last two weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some other reasons I&#8217;m bullish on the Arizona starter:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Pfaadt will get the Giants at pitcher-friendly Oracle Park in San Francisco.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Merrill Kelly, Pfaadt&#8217;s teammate, twirled seven innings with eight strikeouts vs. the Giants last night.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Kelly was the fourth straight righty to clear this line against San Francisco.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 1:00 p.m. ET on 05\/13\/2025<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>All 30 MLB teams are in action for Tuesday&#8217;s busy baseball slate. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: The red-hot Minnesota Twins have won eight in a row to move over .500, and I like a pair of their players to deliver against the Baltimore Orioles tonight. I&#8217;m rounding out the night with a play on Arizona [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":346284,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-346321","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets May 13: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for May 13, 2025. 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