{"id":346144,"date":"2025-05-12T15:10:29","date_gmt":"2025-05-12T19:10:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=346144"},"modified":"2025-05-12T15:33:06","modified_gmt":"2025-05-12T19:33:06","slug":"italian-open-predictions-round-of-16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/italian-open-predictions-round-of-16\/","title":{"rendered":"Italian Open Round of 16 men&#8217;s predictions: Picks on Alex De Minaur and Daniil Medvedev"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Italian Open rolls into the Round of 16 with some big names left on the men&#8217;s side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Today&#8217;s Italian Open narrative:<\/strong> Alex De Minaur is breaking out as an elite all-surface player, and he should continue his run in a matchup he&#8217;s dominated in the past. Elsewhere, Daniil Medvedev is the underdog against Lorenzo Musetti but has the tools to pull off the upset victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Italian Open predictions for May 13. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Italian Open predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: De Minaur -2.5 games (-120)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Australian is putting up his best start to any season in 2025, going 26-9 to this point (74.3% win rate).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s been paired with a 9-3 record on clay, which is a surface he&#8217;s struggled on in the past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>De Minaur also historically owns Tommy Paul, his round of 16 opponent:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>5-0 against the American<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1-0 on clay (straight-set win)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The 26-year-old has yet to lose a set on this event, while his counterpart is coming off a three-set thriller against Tomas Machac.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While Paul&#8217;s 19-7 record (6-2 on clay) is far from bad, he&#8217;s fallen short in the big matches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The No. 12-ranked player is 0-3 this season against players also ranked inside the top 15.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;ll ride with the momentum of De Minaur, who&#8217;s playing the best tennis of his career with strong head-to-head results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> De Minaur is 4-1 against this line vs. Paul in his career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>See all Italian Open 2025 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/tennis\/matches\/48h\">odds, matchups and betting markets<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Medvedev to win (+150):<\/strong> In my view, this match should be closer to a pick&#8217;em, and I like the value on the underdog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Musetti has cemented himself as one of the best players on clay, starting 2025 with a 12-2 record on the surface. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Medvedev has been an inconsistent player recently, but there&#8217;s reason to believe he&#8217;s in top form once again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the start of April, the 29-year-old is 7-2 with his losses coming to De Minaur (No. 8 ranked) and Casper Ruud (No. 7 ranked).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Medvedev has dominated both matches in Rome, beating Cameron Norrie in straight sets before doing the same to No. 25-ranked Alex Popyrin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He lost only 11 games in two matches against a pair of strong competitors. The Russian looks primed to rise back up the ATP rankings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thanks to some deep runs recently, Musetti has played 13 matches since the start of April. He could start showing signs of fatigue in a gruelling match against an equal opponent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Medvedev is 2-0 against the Italian, winning both meetings in straight sets. Although both were played on hard court surfaces.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Italian Open predictions made at 2:21 p.m. on 05\/12\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Italian Open rolls into the Round of 16 with some big names left on the men&#8217;s side. Today&#8217;s Italian Open narrative: Alex De Minaur is breaking out as an elite all-surface player, and he should continue his run in a matchup he&#8217;s dominated in the past. Elsewhere, Daniil Medvedev is the underdog against Lorenzo [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":346127,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,71],"tags":[129],"class_list":["post-346144","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-tennis","tag-tennis-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Italian Open predictions: Round of 16 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Italian Open predictions for the Round of 16. Tennis betting odds and predictions for the tournament in Rome, Italy.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/italian-open-predictions-round-of-16\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Italian Open predictions: Round of 16 | NorthStar Bets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Check out our Italian Open predictions for the Round of 16. Tennis betting odds and predictions for the tournament in Rome, Italy.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/italian-open-predictions-round-of-16\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-05-12T19:10:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-05-12T19:33:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/05\/King-Judge.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Spencer Closs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@Spencer_Closs\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Spencer Closs\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/italian-open-predictions-round-of-16\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/italian-open-predictions-round-of-16\/\",\"name\":\"Italian Open predictions: Round of 16 | NorthStar Bets\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-05-12T19:10:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-05-12T19:33:06+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/909e94f01b9c1f2a17b03359ad2d887d\"},\"description\":\"Check out our Italian Open predictions for the Round of 16. Tennis betting odds and predictions for the tournament in Rome, Italy.\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/italian-open-predictions-round-of-16\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/\",\"name\":\"The Boost\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/909e94f01b9c1f2a17b03359ad2d887d\",\"name\":\"Spencer Closs\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-CA\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/07\/IMG_0105.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/07\/IMG_0105.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Spencer Closs\"},\"description\":\"Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Spencer_Closs\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/scloss\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Italian Open predictions: Round of 16 | NorthStar Bets","description":"Check out our Italian Open predictions for the Round of 16. Tennis betting odds and predictions for the tournament in Rome, Italy.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/italian-open-predictions-round-of-16\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Italian Open predictions: Round of 16 | NorthStar Bets","og_description":"Check out our Italian Open predictions for the Round of 16. Tennis betting odds and predictions for the tournament in Rome, Italy.","og_url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/italian-open-predictions-round-of-16\/","og_site_name":"The Boost","article_published_time":"2025-05-12T19:10:29+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-05-12T19:33:06+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":800,"url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/05\/King-Judge.webp","type":"image\/webp"}],"author":"Spencer Closs","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@Spencer_Closs","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Spencer Closs","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/italian-open-predictions-round-of-16\/","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/italian-open-predictions-round-of-16\/","name":"Italian Open predictions: Round of 16 | NorthStar Bets","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website"},"datePublished":"2025-05-12T19:10:29+00:00","dateModified":"2025-05-12T19:33:06+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/909e94f01b9c1f2a17b03359ad2d887d"},"description":"Check out our Italian Open predictions for the Round of 16. Tennis betting odds and predictions for the tournament in Rome, Italy.","inLanguage":"en-CA","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/italian-open-predictions-round-of-16\/"]}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website","url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/","name":"The Boost","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-CA"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/909e94f01b9c1f2a17b03359ad2d887d","name":"Spencer Closs","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-CA","@id":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/07\/IMG_0105.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2024\/07\/IMG_0105.jpg","caption":"Spencer Closs"},"description":"Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.","sameAs":["https:\/\/twitter.com\/Spencer_Closs"],"url":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/author\/scloss\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/346144","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=346144"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/346144\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":346154,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/346144\/revisions\/346154"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/346127"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=346144"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=346144"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=346144"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}