{"id":345275,"date":"2025-05-10T14:40:11","date_gmt":"2025-05-10T18:40:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=345275"},"modified":"2025-05-10T14:40:11","modified_gmt":"2025-05-10T18:40:11","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-mariners-may-10-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-mariners-may-10-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs. Mariners prop picks May 10: Bet on Seattle&#8217;s Polanco, Tellez to shine"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Toronto Blue Jays go for their third consecutive win and a series win over the Seattle Mariners on Saturday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Toronto&#8217;s bats are beginning to heat up. The team has scored 18 runs across its last three contests. A pitching duel between Bowden Francis and Logan Evans should invite offensive production from both teams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m backing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/jorge_polanco\/batting-stats\">Jorge Polanco<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/rowdy_tellez\/batting-stats\">Rowdy Tellez<\/a> in my Blue Jays picks vs. the Mariners on May 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays picks vs. Mariners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Polanco to record 1+ RBI (+180)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Polanco isn&#8217;t in the ideal spot in Seattle&#8217;s lineup to drive in runs, but that hasn&#8217;t stopped him from racking up RBI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The middle infield hits second for the Mariners and is absolutely crushing it this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Polanco is batting .340 with a .680 SLG on the campaign. The advanced numbers, per Baseball Savant, paint an equally impressive picture:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>100th percentile expected batting average (.353)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>98th percentile expected SLG (.635)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>90th percentile barrel rate (16.1)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>95th percentile squared up rate (35.4)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>These elite metrics are leading to extremely impressive results at the plate. Polanco is tied for 11th among all players in RBI (28).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>J.P. Crawford is batting in front of Polanco, and he should be able to get on against Francis. Crawford is hitting .303 with a .404 on-base percentage against righties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bet on Polanco to deliver at juicy plus-money odds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Polanco has a RBI in three of his last five games and seven of his last 12.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:113630\">Embed: #113630<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\">Full MLB betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\">MLB injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\">MLB stats &amp; standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tellez to record 1+ hit (-118):<\/strong> These odds are certainly palatable when all that&#8217;s needed of Tellez is a hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The left-handed hitter isn&#8217;t having a banner year by any means. Tellez is batting an uninspiring .203 on the campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has been better as of late, however, hitting .318 across seven games in May.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tellez should be able to reach base with a hit at least once against Francis. The Toronto righty enters Saturday&#8217;s game with a rough 5.66 ERA and an even more troubling 6.79 FIP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opposing batters are hitting to the tune of .282 against Francis this year. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Francis&#8217; Baseball Savant page does a good job of summing up how dreadful he has been in 2025. He has a third percentile expected ERA (6.92) and expected batting average (.319).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tellez took Francis deep in his lone at-bat against the righty. The sample size is small, but encouraging, for the ex-Blue Jay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Blue Jays picks vs. Mariners made at 2:31 p.m. ET on 05\/10\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Toronto Blue Jays go for their third consecutive win and a series win over the Seattle Mariners on Saturday. The pregame narrative: Toronto&#8217;s bats are beginning to heat up. The team has scored 18 runs across its last three contests. A pitching duel between Bowden Francis and Logan Evans should invite offensive production from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":345538,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[130],"class_list":["post-345275","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays picks vs. Mariners: May 10 MLB betting | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks vs. Mariners for May 10, 2025. 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