{"id":345063,"date":"2025-05-09T09:43:15","date_gmt":"2025-05-09T13:43:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=345063"},"modified":"2025-05-09T09:43:15","modified_gmt":"2025-05-09T13:43:15","slug":"thunder-vs-nuggets-game-3-nba-sgp-predictions-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/thunder-vs-nuggets-game-3-nba-sgp-predictions-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Thunder vs. Nuggets SGP predictions Game 3: Back OKC to win, Holmgren in +300 ticket"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets&#8217; Western Conference series shifts to the Mile High City on Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> OKC is favoured to win on the road tonight after a dominant 43-point blowout victory in Game 2. Denver has a 17-5 record at Ball Arena over the last three postseasons and will need to be at its best to retake the series lead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Thunder vs. Nuggets SGP predictions for May 9, featuring <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/chet_holmgren\">Chet Holmgren<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/jamal_murray\">Jamal Murray<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Thunder ML | Holmgren 2+ threes | Murray 15+ points (+300)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>Thunder ML <\/strong><\/strong>(-220):<\/strong> OKC threw away Game 1 with an uncharacteristic fourth-quarter choke at home. But the Thunder reminded everyone why they&#8217;re the title favourites in Game 2, scoring a playoff-best 149 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They scored an NBA playoff-record 87 first-half points, posted a collective 50-40-90 shooting line, and had eight players log double-digit points. It was a true beatdown.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>OKC was 23-14-2 ATS as a road favourite this year (second-best among NBA teams with more than 15 games as a road favourite), winning 32 of those games outright. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Thunder posted a +12.7 net rating in the regular season, the second-highest of all time behind the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls, and have a +20.1 net rating in the playoffs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Denver is a tough out at home, especially in the playoffs. But OKC is simply on a different level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think this is a great way to start any SGP for Friday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:113594\">Embed: #113594<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nba\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full NBA betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NBA SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Holmgren 2+ threes<\/strong> (+116):<\/strong> Holmgren did his part in Wednesday&#8217;s blowout, contributing 15 points and 11 rebounds in 26 minutes of play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The lanky power forward also went 2-for-3 from deep, and is now shooting a respectable 40.6% from beyond the arc this postseason.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He had hit three-plus 3s in each of his first three games against the Memphis Grizzlies before going on a two-game dry spell. Overall, he&#8217;s 4-2 against this line in the playoffs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Denver should be the right opponent for him to keep firing from beyond the arc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Nuggets allowed the 11th-most 3s per game (13.9) at the eighth-highest clip (36.4%) this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Murray 15+ points (-375)<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>: Murray fell just short of this milestone in Game 2, logging 14 points on nine shots. That said, he&#8217;s been reliable against this mark overall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>22.9 PPG in playoffs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>15+ points in 7 of 8 games<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>20+ points in 6 of 8 games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Thunder are a nightmare matchup defensively, but Murray managed to clear this line in both games against them during the regular season \u2014 that includes a 34-point outing in OKC<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He averaged 19.5 FGA in those games, and a return to that type of volume would put this leg in a really good spot. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions made at 9:00 a.m. ET 05\/09\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets&#8217; Western Conference series shifts to the Mile High City on Friday. The pregame narrative: OKC is favoured to win on the road tonight after a dominant 43-point blowout victory in Game 2. Denver has a 17-5 record at Ball Arena over the last three postseasons and will need [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":345068,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-345063","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Thunder vs. Nuggets predictions Game 3: NBA playoffs SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Game 3 Thunder vs. Nuggets SGP predictions. 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