{"id":345020,"date":"2025-05-08T13:21:50","date_gmt":"2025-05-08T17:21:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=345020"},"modified":"2025-05-08T13:21:50","modified_gmt":"2025-05-08T17:21:50","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-and-predictions-may-8\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets May 8: Bet on Yamamoto and Betts to star in Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\">There&#8217;s a handful of afternoon ballgames in MLB on Thursday, but my primary focus is on the nightcap between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative<\/strong>: Yoshinobu Yamamoto looks to continue his glistening start to 2025 against Brandon Pfaadt and the D-backs. Yamamoto won both of his starts against Arizona a season ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\">In addition to Yamamoto, my best MLB prop bets for May 8 also feature plays on Freddie Freeman and Danny Jansen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Jansen under 0.5 hits (+105)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Plenty of Blue Jays fans were surely sour when Jansen was traded at last year&#8217;s deadline, but the early returns from his post-Toronto days justify the move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Between last year&#8217;s stint with the Red Sox and this year&#8217;s tenure with the Phillies, here&#8217;s what Jansen has put together offensively:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>54 games<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>.163 BA<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>.572 OPS<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>74 wRC+<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>17.3 BB%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The basement-level batting average and the sky-high walk rate both matter for a hits prop. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On one hand, Jansen isn&#8217;t generating a lot of quality contact when he puts bat to ball &#8230; and on the other hand, he&#8217;s content to keep the bat on his shoulder and simply take a free base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tonight, Jansen faces Phillies left-hander Jesus Luzardo, who is 3-0 with a 1.94 ERA through seven starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Luzardo, who is Peruvian-born but raised in Florida, has held opponents to a .219 BA when pitching on the road this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You might think the right-hitting Jansen would have a leg up on Luzardo in a lefty-on-righty matchup. But that isn&#8217;t true.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jansen is just 2-for-25 (.080) against LHPs this season and has a career .197 BA against southpaws overall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Jansen ranks in the third percentile in xBA (.197), per Baseball Savant. He&#8217;s also in the bottom-15th percentile in xSLG (.335) and average exit velocity (86.6 mph).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dodgers MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Betts over 0.5 runs (-110):<\/strong> How can you not like Betts to score at this price?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He bats in the No. 2 spot in the Dodgers&#8217; order, with the hottest hitter in baseball \u2014 Freddie Freeman \u2014 right behind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his past 10 games, Freeman is batting .500 with seven extra-base hits and 17 RBI. I thought about just taking Freeman over 1.5 bases (-121), but Betts&#8217; price to score is even better.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L.A. faces Arizona starter Brandon Pfaadt tonight, and there&#8217;s a lot of positive history there on the Dodgers&#8217; side of things.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Betts has reached base in 6 of 13 plate appearances against Pfaadt (.462 OBP).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Freeman and L.A. cleanup hitter Will Smith are a combined 7-for-21 with four doubles and a home run vs. Pfaadt.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Oh, and Betts has scored in seven consecutive starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Yamamoto over 17.5 outs (-120):<\/strong> Yamamoto is off to a remarkable start in Year 2 with the Dodgers. Through seven outings, he owns the lowest ERA in the majors (0.90).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Without Shohei Ohtani, Tyler Glasnow or Blake Snell available to pitch right now, Yamamoto is the de facto ace of the squad. And the Dodgers aren&#8217;t treating the 26-year-old with kid gloves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He&#8217;s averaging 17.1 outs and is 4-3 against this line.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Yamamoto has thrown 90+ pitches in six straight starts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Last year, Yamamoto cashed this bet in both outings against the Diamondbacks, allowing two runs while striking out 13 batters over 12.1 innings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s also catching the D-backs at a decent time. Over the past two weeks, the typically potent offence ranks 15th in runs and 18th in wRC+.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 1:15 p.m. ET on 05\/08\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There&#8217;s a handful of afternoon ballgames in MLB on Thursday, but my primary focus is on the nightcap between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks. Today&#8217;s MLB props narrative: Yoshinobu Yamamoto looks to continue his glistening start to 2025 against Brandon Pfaadt and the D-backs. Yamamoto won both of his starts against Arizona a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":344972,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-345020","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets May 8: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for May 8, 2025. 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