{"id":344645,"date":"2025-05-06T14:26:26","date_gmt":"2025-05-06T18:26:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=344645"},"modified":"2025-05-06T14:27:59","modified_gmt":"2025-05-06T18:27:59","slug":"warriors-vs-timberwolves-game-1-nba-prop-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/warriors-vs-timberwolves-game-1-nba-prop-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Warriors vs. Timberwolves prop picks Game 1: Bet on Minnesota bigs Gobert and Randle"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Golden State Warriors survived the Houston Rockets in seven games to set up a daunting showdown with the Minnesota Timberwolves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Minnesota handled business in the opening round, taking down Luka Doncic&#8217;s Los Angeles Lakers in five games. Golden State almost let a 3-1 lead slip away and enters this second-round matchup as a +155 underdog to advance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game 1 prop picks for Tuesday, May 6, featuring plays on Minnesota&#8217;s Rudy Gobert and Julius Randle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Warriors vs. Timberwolves prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/basketball\/competitions\/10240\"><strong>Full NBA betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report-news\"><strong>NBA injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players\"><strong>NBA player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/standings\"><strong>NBA standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Gobert over 10.5 rebounds (-118)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gobert&#8217;s first round was interesting&nbsp;to say the least. He turned in four duds before playing the role of hero in Game 5.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The veteran torched the Lakers for 27 points and 24 rebounds.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>His point production&nbsp;was more than he&#8217;d had in the previous four games combined. He grabbed a total of 25 rebounds in Games 1-4 of that series.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Gobert never touched the 30-minute mark in Games 1-4 before logging 39 in the closeout game.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>So what can we expect from him in Game 1? It&#8217;s hard not to believe Gobert bought himself some goodwill with his series-clinching performance.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Warriors are an interesting matchup for Gobert and the Timberwolves, as any Golden State lineup will be undersized.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Golden State&#8217;s most common five-man lineups&nbsp;in the opening round saw the 6-foot-6 Draymond Green at centre. So the Warriors will give up plenty of size with the 7-foot-1 Gobert on the court.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Minnesota can either go big with Gobert and achieve a likely edge on the boards or go a smaller, more athletic route to match up better with Golden State.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My best guess is the&nbsp;Timberwolves go somewhere in the middle, ensuring enough minutes for Gobert to have a big game on the glass.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While Gobert doesn&#8217;t have the offensive upside to secure the same minutes as Alperen Sengun, we just saw the Rockets centre torch the Warriors in the first round.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sengun averaged 11.9 boards in the series, hauling in 14+ three times.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Gobert is the best rebounder in this series, averaging 10.9\/game in the regular season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Gobert had 10-plus rebounds in three of four games vs. Golden State this season (averaging 10.5 in the head-to-head).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Game 1 prop prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Randle over 27.5 points\/rebounds (-112):<\/strong> Randle is another player who can benefit from Golden State&#8217;s small-ball lineups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He doesn&#8217;t have the same size as Gobert. But at 6-foot-9, there will likely be stretches when he&#8217;s the tallest player on the court.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Randle only averaged 5.2 boards in the Lakers series, but he was a beast offensively and has more rebounding upside than that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The 30-year-old averaged 7.1 RPG in the regular season. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Randle averaged 8.3 rebounds in four games vs. Golden State this season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He averaged at least 9.0 RPG in five straight seasons coming into this year. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>After a 16-point, five-rebound Game 1 against Los Angeles, Randle cleared this line in four straight. He averaged 38.0 minutes in the series, scoring 25-plus points twice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Randle&#8217;s 22.6 PPG scoring average in the Lakers series was second on Minnesota to Anthony Edwards (26.8).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Warriors vs. Timberwolves prop picks made at 11:58 a.m. ET 05\/06\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Golden State Warriors survived the Houston Rockets in seven games to set up a daunting showdown with the Minnesota Timberwolves. The pregame narrative: Minnesota handled business in the opening round, taking down Luka Doncic&#8217;s Los Angeles Lakers in five games. Golden State almost let a 3-1 lead slip away and enters this second-round matchup [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":344545,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,62],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-344645","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks: Game 1 prop predictions | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Game 1 Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks. 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