{"id":344285,"date":"2025-05-05T12:17:39","date_gmt":"2025-05-05T16:17:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=344285"},"modified":"2025-05-05T12:17:40","modified_gmt":"2025-05-05T16:17:40","slug":"mets-vs-diamondbacks-prop-bets-may-5-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mets-vs-diamondbacks-prop-bets-may-5-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Mets vs. Diamondbacks prop bets May 5: Look for Alonso to rake, fade Carroll amid slump"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets open a three-game series at Chase Field on Monday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Ryne Nelson gets his first start of the year for the Diamondbacks after seven relief appearances. He tossed 4.0 innings of shutout ball against the Mets in a bulk relief role last week, but there&#8217;s still a pair of Mets worth backing against him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/pete_alonso\/batting-stats\">Pete Alonso<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/brandon_nimmo\/batting-stats\">Brandon Nimmo<\/a> are featured in my <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\">Mets vs. Diamondbacks prop bets<\/a> for May 5, alongside <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/corbin_carroll\/batting-stats\">Corbin Carroll<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mets vs. Diamondbacks prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\">Best Bet<\/a>: Alonso over 1.5 bases (-103)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m not shying away from Alonso just because Arizona&#8217;s starting pitcher had a strong outing in this matchup last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If anything, it&#8217;s a plus that Alonso gets to see Nelson for a second time in a seven-day span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And given their overall head-to-head history \u2014 Alonso is 4-for-9 with three home runs \u2014 I&#8217;m sure the Mets&#8217; No. 3 hitter doesn&#8217;t mind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alonso is taking on anybody and everybody right now, putting up one of the best early-season slash lines in the majors: .344\/.468\/.656.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Is that kind of line sustainable? I&#8217;d think not, but Alonso is coming by his early-season success honestly. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Baseball Savant, he ranks in the 99th percentile in xSLG (.690) and the 98th percentile in hard-hit rate (58.8%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Having just seen Nelson last week, I think Alonso should have a leg up in tonight&#8217;s matchup. Not that he&#8217;s needed that this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Stat:<\/strong> Alonso is averaging 2.3 bases per game and is 18-17 against this line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:113411\">Embed: #113411<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\">Nimmo over 0.5 RBI (+175)<\/a>:<\/strong> I think this price is a steal for Nimmo, who bats cleanup for the Mets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thanks to the efforts of Alonso, Juan Soto and Francisco Lindor, Nimmo has had 81 plate appearances with runners on base so far. That&#8217;s 2.6 per game \u2014 second-most in MLB.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alonso, Soto and Lindor are a combined 11-for-29 (.379) with nine extra-base hits and five walks against Nelson. So Nimmo&#8217;s RBI opportunities should keep on coming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As for the man himself, Nimmo has cashed this prop in six of his past 12 games. And he&#8217;s 4-for-7 with a double and a triple against Nelson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\">Carroll under 0.5 runs (-108)<\/a>:<\/strong> Carroll is in a mini slump right now, and I think it&#8217;s worth leaning into that trend with a thriving starter on the mound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Carroll is 7-for-40 (.175) with 16 strikeouts in his past nine games. He has only scored twice in that span.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>New York&#8217;s Griffin Canning is 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA in his past three starts. He has allowed two or fewer runs in 5 of 6 starts this year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Carroll is 0-for-3 against Canning, and the D-backs are collectively batting .175 against him with a .275 SLG in 43 plate appearances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even from the leadoff or No. 2 spot in Arizona&#8217;s order, I don&#8217;t expect Carroll to make much noise tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Mets vs. Diamondbacks prop picks made at 12:00 p.m. ET on 05\/05\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"thestar\">Looking to get started? <em><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNzQxMyZsPTEzNTI3NDExJnA9MjMyNDM%3D\">Sign up here<\/a><\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets open a three-game series at Chase Field on Monday night. The pregame narrative: Ryne Nelson gets his first start of the year for the Diamondbacks after seven relief appearances. He tossed 4.0 innings of shutout ball against the Mets in a bulk relief role last week, but there&#8217;s [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":344310,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-344285","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Mets vs. Diamondbacks prop bets: May 5 | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Mets vs. Diamondbacks prop bets. 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