{"id":343530,"date":"2025-05-03T13:22:20","date_gmt":"2025-05-03T17:22:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=343530"},"modified":"2025-05-03T13:27:32","modified_gmt":"2025-05-03T17:27:32","slug":"ruud-vs-draper-best-bet-madrid-open-final-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/ruud-vs-draper-best-bet-madrid-open-final-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Casper Ruud vs. Jack Draper Madrid Open final best bet and odds: Pick underdog Ruud to win"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Casper Ruud and Jack Draper square off in what promises to be an excellent Madrid Open final.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Ruud and Draper have navigated an unpredictable Madrid Open and enter Sunday’s matchup with a chance at victory. In a tournament that’s been full of upsets, I’m backing Ruud to win as an underdog in the final.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my Ruud vs. Draper Madrid Open final best bet and the odds for May 4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ruud vs. Draper best bet<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Go to full Ruud vs. Draper betting markets<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Betting markets<\/strong><\/td>Odds<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Ruud to win<\/td>+180<\/a><\/td><\/tr>
Draper to win<\/td>-220<\/a><\/td><\/tr>
Ruud +2.5 games<\/td>+107<\/a><\/td><\/tr>
Draper -2.5 games<\/td>-130<\/a><\/td><\/tr>
Ruud to win in straight sets<\/td>+410<\/a><\/td><\/tr>
Draper to win in straight sets<\/td>+125<\/a><\/td><\/tr>
Over 22.5 total games<\/td>-117<\/a><\/td><\/tr>
Under 22.5 total games<\/td>-107<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Tennis odds as of 12:59 p.m. ET on 05\/03\/2025<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet: Ruud to win (+180)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This match feels much closer than the odds suggest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ruud has a 35.7% implied probability at this price, which seems a little low even if he’s dealing with a rib injury.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Firstly, Ruud has a very strong track record on clay. He’s 32-9 on this surface since 2024, which is significantly better than his opponent’s mark of 11-8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This will be Ruud’s second opportunity to win a Masters 1000 on clay. He fell short in the 2024 Monte-Carlo Masters final against Stefanos Tsitsipas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For Draper, however, this is his very first final appearance at a clay Masters 1000 event.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Both competitors have defeated strong clay-court players at this tournament, but I will give the strength of victory edge to Ruud. The Norwegian has beaten: Taylor Fritz, Daniil Medvedev and Francisco Cerundolo en route to the final.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Draper doesn’t boast the same track record of success on clay that Ruud does. The British tennis star has played just 50 matches on the surface and was a mediocre 24-20 on clay prior to this year’s Madrid Open.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Back Ruud to get it done and win his first-ever Masters 1000 event.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Ruud is 244-104 lifetime on clay, notching 20-plus wins on the surface each of the last four years. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tennis picks made at 1:17 p.m. ET on 05\/03\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Casper Ruud and Jack Draper square off in what promises to be an excellent Madrid Open final. The pregame narrative: Ruud and Draper have navigated an unpredictable Madrid Open and enter Sunday’s matchup with a chance at victory. In a tournament that’s been full of upsets, I’m backing Ruud to win as an underdog in […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":343537,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[128],"class_list":["post-343530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","tag-tennis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nRuud vs. Draper Madrid Open final best bet | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Ruud vs. Draper best bet for the 2025 Madrid Open final. 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