{"id":342958,"date":"2025-04-29T16:41:47","date_gmt":"2025-04-29T20:41:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=342958"},"modified":"2025-04-29T16:48:22","modified_gmt":"2025-04-29T20:48:22","slug":"madrid-open-round-of-16-predictions-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/madrid-open-round-of-16-predictions-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Madrid Open round of 16 predictions: Best bets on De Minaur vs. Musetti, Dimitrov vs. Diallo"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The round of 16 begins at the Madrid Open on Wednesday, and I have a pick on the only Canadian left in action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Surprisingly, that is Gabriel Diallo, as the 23-year-old has outlasted all fellow Canadians. However, I&#8217;m backing his opponent, Grigor Dimitrov, to win this matchup comfortably. After that, bet on Lorenzo Musetti as the underdog in his match.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my top Madrid Open predictions for April 30.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Madrid Open predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Visit full Madrid Open <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/tennis\"><strong>betting markets<\/strong>.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Dimitrov -1.5 sets (+115)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m a big fan of Diallo, but there are many reasons to fade him here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Dimitrov, the No. 16-ranked player, is 5-1 on clay this year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has played two matches at the Madrid Open, equalling just over three and a half hours of playing time.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Diallo has taken part in five matches, which totals out to just under seven hours on the court.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Canadian may be a decade younger than his competitor, but I find it hard to think Dimitrov won&#8217;t have the stamina advantage on Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s just flat out the better player, too. Dimitrov had a 46-18 record in 2024 and is 14-7 in 2025. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Diallo, on the other hand, is ranked No. 78 in the world and carries a 16-12 record this year (6-4 on clay).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Dimitrov is 11-3 since the start of March with the losses coming against De Minaur (No. 7), Novak Djokovic (No. 5) and Carlos Alcaraz (No. 3).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Musetti to win (+110):<\/strong> Musetti is finding his groove at 23 years of age and developing into one of ATP&#8217;s top players.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Italian is the highest he&#8217;s ever been ranked (No. 11) thanks to a 14-5 start this season. That includes an 8-1 record on clay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s been his best playing surface throughout his career, as his 126-67 record stands out compared to his 107-99 record on all other surfaces combined.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In comparison, De Minaur has his worst winning percentage on clay (57.6%). Additionally, he lost to Musetti on the surface earlier this month (1-6, 6-4, 7-6).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, Musetti is 2-1 in his career vs. the Australian. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Madrid Open predictions made at 2:31 p.m. on 04\/29\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The round of 16 begins at the Madrid Open on Wednesday, and I have a pick on the only Canadian left in action. The pregame narrative: Surprisingly, that is Gabriel Diallo, as the 23-year-old has outlasted all fellow Canadians. However, I&#8217;m backing his opponent, Grigor Dimitrov, to win this matchup comfortably. After that, bet on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":342978,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,71],"tags":[129],"class_list":["post-342958","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-tennis","tag-tennis-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Madrid Open predictions round of 16: Best bet on Diallo | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Madrid Open predictions for the round of 16. 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