{"id":342813,"date":"2025-04-29T10:53:07","date_gmt":"2025-04-29T14:53:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=342813"},"modified":"2025-04-29T10:53:07","modified_gmt":"2025-04-29T14:53:07","slug":"nba-playoff-prop-bets-april-29-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nba-playoff-prop-bets-april-29-2\/","title":{"rendered":"NBA playoff prop bets April 29: Bet on Giannis, Wagner putting up points"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Giannis Antetokounmpo&#8217;s Milwaukee Bucks are on the brink of elimination \u2014 but I expect the superstar to go down swinging.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Giannis is one of my three NBA prop targets on Tuesday night, alongside Orlando&#8217;s Franz Wagner and Detroit&#8217;s Tim Hardaway Jr. I think all three players have a solid opportunity to shine in their respective playoff matchups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out the best NBA prop bets for first-round playoff action on April 29.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NBA prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best Bet: Wagner over 22.5 points (-120)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Orlando Magic don&#8217;t have a very imaginative offence. It&#8217;s a lot of isolation action, with either Wagner or Paolo Banchero heaving the ball toward the rim as the shot clock winds down. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of the 334 shot attempts Orlando has had this series, 202 of them (60.5%) have come from the Wagner\/Banchero duo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Banchero is the 1A to Wagner&#8217;s 1B, but they both have exceptionally high floors in terms of shot volume. Wagner has attempted 20-plus shots in all four first-round games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More importantly, he has cashed this bet every time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 3-point shooting from Wagner has been poor (7-of-33, 21.2%), but unfortunately that&#8217;s not too far off the expectation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His 29.5 3PT% this season was the worst in the NBA among players who attempted 4.5 threes or more per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What I&#8217;m fixated on is Wagner&#8217;s shot volume, which has remained high in spite of the inefficiency. If he&#8217;s in the realm of 20-plus field-goal attempts (and five or more attempted 3s), another over will be in play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Wagner is 5-0 against this prop in matchups against Boston this month, averaging 25.4 PPG in those games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/basketball\/competitions\/10240\"><strong>Full NBA betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report-news\"><strong>NBA injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players\"><strong>NBA player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/standings\"><strong>NBA standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best NBA picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Giannis over 45.5 points\/rebounds (-125):<\/strong> The Pacers haven&#8217;t done a good job of containing Giannis, but it really hasn&#8217;t mattered. They&#8217;re up 3-1 in the first-round series and will likely close things out tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I do expect Giannis to go out with a bang, though, as he&#8217;s the only player who gives the Bucks any hope of winning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Through four games, the Greek Freak is averaging 33.8 points and 14.3 rebounds. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has 46 more points and 26 more rebounds than any other player in the series.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Giannis had 28 points on uncharacteristically inefficient shooting in Game 4 (9-for-20). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But he&#8217;s still 3-1 against this prop in this series, and he&#8217;s shooting 63.5% in eight matchups against the Pacers this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hardaway over 2.5 threes (-125):<\/strong> Hardaway&#8217;s 3-point shooting volume was down this year, as he averaged fewer than 6.0 attempts for the first time since the 2016-17 season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But he&#8217;s ratcheted the volume back up in the playoffs, and coming off two huge games beyond the arc, I think this is a great number to back him at.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Game 3, Hardaway shot 7-for-12 from 3-point range. He followed that up with a 4-for-13 showing in Game 4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All told, Hardaway is 3-1 against this prop against the Knicks in the first round, averaging 9.8 attempted 3s per game. I&#8217;ll take that volume every day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>NBA prop picks made at 10:40 a.m. ET on 04\/29\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Giannis Antetokounmpo&#8217;s Milwaukee Bucks are on the brink of elimination \u2014 but I expect the superstar to go down swinging. The pregame narrative: Giannis is one of my three NBA prop targets on Tuesday night, alongside Orlando&#8217;s Franz Wagner and Detroit&#8217;s Tim Hardaway Jr. I think all three players have a solid opportunity to shine [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":342797,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,62],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-342813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nba","tag-nba-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NBA prop bets April 29: Playoff picks, predictions &amp; odds | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best NBA prop bets for April 29, 2025. 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