{"id":342719,"date":"2025-04-28T14:26:54","date_gmt":"2025-04-28T18:26:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=342719"},"modified":"2025-04-28T14:26:55","modified_gmt":"2025-04-28T18:26:55","slug":"senators-vs-maple-leafs-prop-picks-game-5-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/senators-vs-maple-leafs-prop-picks-game-5-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Senators vs. Maple Leafs prop picks Game 5: Bet on Brady Tkachuk, Morgan Rielly"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Toronto Maple Leafs have another chance to eliminate the Ottawa Senators and win the Battle of Ontario on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Ottawa avoided a sweep on Saturday night but is still on the brink of elimination as the series shifts back to Toronto. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nhl\/players\/morgan_rielly\">Morgan Rielly<\/a> has been solid for the Maple Leafs, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nhl\/players\/brady_tkachuk\">Brady Tkachuk<\/a> has points in three straight for the Senators. I&#8217;m betting on both to produce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Senators vs. Maple Leafs prop picks for Game 5 of the opening round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Senators vs. Maple Leafs picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Tkachuk to register a point (-129)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tkachuk was held pointless in the series opener, but it wasn&#8217;t for lack of effort.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Senators&#8217; captain fired five pucks on net and generated a game-high 11 chances in the loss. Tkachuk doesn&#8217;t kill penalties and saw just under 17 minutes of ice time as his team made a conga line to the penalty box.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Things have gone much better for Tkachuk and Ottawa since, even though Toronto has walked away with wins in two of the past three games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Game 2:<\/strong> One goal, five shots, 20:18 TOI<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Game 3: <\/strong>One goal, four shots, 17:19 TOI<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Game 4: <\/strong>One assist, one shot, 21:24 TOI<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If the Sens want any chance of pulling off a historic comeback, Tkachuk will need to be front and centre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Anthony Stolarz has been great for the Maple Leafs in net but just turned in his worst game of the series, allowing four goals on 21 shots. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That could be cause for concern, as the netminder is reaching uncharted territory in terms of workload. He&#8217;ll be making his 39th appearance of the season after never playing more than 28 games in previous years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto is also allowing the sixth-most chances on a 60-minute basis this postseason (64.31), according to Natural Stat Trick.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most of those aren&#8217;t from high-danger areas, but throwing pucks on the net tends to lead to greasy goals in the postseason. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Tkachuk leads all Senators in shots (15) and chances (32) this series.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:113095\">Embed: #113095<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/ice_hockey\/nhl?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nhl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full NHL betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nhl-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NHL injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nhl\/top-skaters?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NHL stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Game 5 prop prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rielly over 1.5 shots (+110):<\/strong> Rielly has turned up the heat in the postseason, as is tradition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The longest-tenured Maple Leafs has three points (two goals) in four games, and is third in average TOI (22:35). I&#8217;m happy to back Rielly to record a point at +128, but I think this is a safer option.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The rearguard has cleared this line in three of four games and is coming off a four-shot outing on Saturday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His 21 shot attempts are fourth among all Maple Leafs skaters. Only nine of those have found the net, but Craig Berube&#8217;s coaching staff has placed a clear emphasis on firing pucks from the point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rielly should stick to that game plan on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Maple Leafs vs. Senators prop picks made at 2:03 p.m. ET 04\/28\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Toronto Maple Leafs have another chance to eliminate the Ottawa Senators and win the Battle of Ontario on Tuesday. The pregame narrative: Ottawa avoided a sweep on Saturday night but is still on the brink of elimination as the series shifts back to Toronto. Morgan Rielly has been solid for the Maple Leafs, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":342735,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[58],"tags":[49],"class_list":["post-342719","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nhl","tag-nhl"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Senators vs. Maple Leafs picks: Game 5 prop predictions | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Game 5 Senators vs. Maple Leafs picks. 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