{"id":340188,"date":"2025-04-18T11:48:10","date_gmt":"2025-04-18T15:48:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=340188"},"modified":"2025-04-18T11:48:10","modified_gmt":"2025-04-18T15:48:10","slug":"heat-vs-hawks-play-in-sgp-predictions-april-18-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/heat-vs-hawks-play-in-sgp-predictions-april-18-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Heat vs. Hawks play-in SGP predictions April 18: Ride with Mitchell, Niang in +270 parlay"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Atlanta Hawks host the Miami Heat on Friday night for the final spot in the Eastern Conference playoff picture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Tonight&#8217;s winner will likely get waxed by the 64-win Cleveland Cavaliers in the first round, but we don&#8217;t need to worry about that right now. In this +270 SGP, I think two lesser-known players, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/georges_niang\">Georges Niang<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/davion_mitchell\">Davion Mitchell<\/a>, are worth backing on milestone props.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Heat vs. Hawks play-in SGP predictions for April 19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Heat vs. Hawks predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_nba\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full NBA betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NBA stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Over 214.5 points | Niang 2+ threes | Mitchell 6+ assists (+270)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:112641\">Embed: #112641<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Over 214.5 points (-180):<\/strong> The Hawks hit a lot of overs, and doing so at this number really shouldn&#8217;t be a problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Overs are 26-14-0 (65.0%) in Atlanta&#8217;s home games this year, per Team Rankings. That&#8217;s the highest rate in the NBA.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Hawks play at the fastest pace of any home team in the NBA (104.20 possessions per game).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This over has cashed in 35 of Atlanta&#8217;s past 36 games, dating back to Jan. 30.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The only time the Hawks failed to hit this point total since Jan. 30 was a 98-86 win over the Heat on Feb. 24. But I view that as a complete anomaly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since last April, overs are 4-1 in head-to-head matchups between these teams. Also, overs are 5-1 in Miami&#8217;s past six games overall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NBA SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Niang 2+ threes <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>(-167):<\/strong> Niang was the least exciting asset in this year&#8217;s deadline deal that saw Caris LeVert and De&#8217;Andre Hunter trade places. But he still plays a valuable role.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Coming off the bench for about 23 minutes per night, Niang shot the lights out from 3-point range for the Hawks in the regular season:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>41.3 3PT%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2.7 makes\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>6.6 attempts\/game<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2+ threes in 21 of 28 games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Niang went under this milestone with 1-for-4 shooting from deep in Atlanta&#8217;s first play-in game. The Hawks were a miserable 4-for-21 (19.0%) from 3-point range in that matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Niang&#8217;s broader body of work with his new team is stellar, and I think he deserves enough looks on Friday to cash this bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Mitchell 6+ assists<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong> (-150):<\/strong> Mitchell doesn&#8217;t typically start for the Heat, but he still plays plenty of minutes and is relied upon to run the offence for significant stretches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Take Wednesday&#8217;s play-in game, for example. Coming off the bench, Mitchell played 33 minutes and had nine assists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 11 games prior, Mitchell averaged 32.6 minutes and 6.8 assists despite only making one start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My hope is that Atlanta pushes the pace to an extent where Mitchell gets a ton of assist opportunities. He has cashed this bet in two of three games against the Hawks since joining the Heat<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Heat vs. Hawks predictions made at 11:30 a.m. ET 04\/18\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Atlanta Hawks host the Miami Heat on Friday night for the final spot in the Eastern Conference playoff picture. The pregame narrative: Tonight&#8217;s winner will likely get waxed by the 64-win Cleveland Cavaliers in the first round, but we don&#8217;t need to worry about that right now. In this +270 SGP, I think two [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":340189,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-340188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Heat vs. Hawks predictions: SGP picks April 18 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Heat vs. Hawks SGP predictions for April 18. 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