{"id":339981,"date":"2025-04-16T10:22:54","date_gmt":"2025-04-16T14:22:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=339981"},"modified":"2025-04-16T10:22:55","modified_gmt":"2025-04-16T14:22:55","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-braves-april-16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-braves-april-16\/","title":{"rendered":"Braves vs. Blue Jays prop picks April 16: Bet on Austin Riley to rake in Wednesday&#8217;s matinee"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Spencer Strider makes his 2025 season debut Wednesday afternoon in a rubber match between the Atlanta Braves and Toronto Blue Jays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> You never know what you&#8217;ll get out of a pitcher coming off an extended injury absence, but Strider has shown plenty of positives in his rehab outings. I&#8217;m eyeing a pair of hitter prop bets, though, backing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/austin_riley\/batting-stats\">Austin Riley<\/a> and fading <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/alejandro_kirk\/batting-stats\">Alejandro Kirk<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. Braves for April 16.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays picks vs. Braves<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\"><strong>MLB player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\"><strong>MLB standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Riley over 1.5 bases (+105)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Riley is on a heater, and this is a solid price to back him at.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The third baseman is 4-for-8 at Rogers Centre in this series, and three of those hits left the yard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s now riding an eight-game hitting streak, featuring some truly gaudy numbers:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>16-for-35 (.457)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1.358 OPS<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>7 extra-base hits<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2+ bases in 7 of 8<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Riley is 3-for-11 with a homer against Toronto starter Chris Bassitt, which equates to a .545 SLG. His contact quality has clearly been good in this matchup, as Baseball Savant grades him at a .600 xSLG.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Riley ranks in the 92nd percentile or better in xSLG (.593), average exit velocity (93.8 mph) and barrel rate (22.9%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kirk under 0.5 hits (+140):<\/strong> Kirk might not contribute much to Strider&#8217;s strikeout total, but I think he has a fair chance of going hitless on Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kirk ranks in the 37th percentile in xBA (.233) and in the 25th percentile in xSLG (.331). He&#8217;s been hitless in six of 13 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a right-hitting player, Kirk will have Strider&#8217;s elite slider running away from him. In 2023, that slider generated a 55.3% whiff rate (third among all pitches that year).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Strider has held righties to a .188 BA in his career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Braves vs. Blue Jays picks made at 10:13 a.m. ET on 04\/16\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Spencer Strider makes his 2025 season debut Wednesday afternoon in a rubber match between the Atlanta Braves and Toronto Blue Jays. The pregame narrative: You never know what you&#8217;ll get out of a pitcher coming off an extended injury absence, but Strider has shown plenty of positives in his rehab outings. I&#8217;m eyeing a pair [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":339982,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-339981","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays picks vs. Braves: April 16 MLB betting | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks vs. Braves for April 16, 2025. 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