{"id":339186,"date":"2025-04-11T12:13:17","date_gmt":"2025-04-11T16:13:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=339186"},"modified":"2025-04-12T09:44:27","modified_gmt":"2025-04-12T13:44:27","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-april-11-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-april-11-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets April 11: Bet on Manny Machado, Spencer Torkelson to rake"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I&#8217;ve got a trio of bases props in my crosshairs for Friday&#8217;s MLB action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Spencer Torkelson and Manny Machado are both off to great starts that I expect to continue tonight. And though it hasn&#8217;t been as smooth of a ride for Spencer Steer, his matchup is a compelling one to target, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out the best MLB prop bets for April 11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Full MLB betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>MLB stats &amp; standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\">Best Bet<\/a>: <strong>Torkelson over 1.5 bases (+140)<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:112408\">Embed: #112408<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Torkelson is swinging a very hot bat, and I think he can take advantage of tonight&#8217;s matchup against an inexperienced pitcher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Twins starter David Festa, who tossed 64.1 innings as a rookie last season, is back in the majors to make his 2025 debut on Friday. He began the year with Triple-A St. Paul, allowing 13 hits and six runs in 8.1 IP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Minnesota&#8217;s Target Field might not be the first park you think of as an offensive haven, but it&#8217;s a place hitters are known to rake.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Baseball Savant, Target Field ranks 8% above average (or greater) in doubles, triples and home runs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Festa certainly knows the perils of pitching at Target Field. Last season, he allowed an .863 OPS in eight games at home. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Torkelson hasn&#8217;t had the pleasure of facing Festa yet, but at this price, I&#8217;ll ride with a guy who has a 1.037 OPS so far while posting an 87th-percentile hard-hit rate (55.2%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Torkelson has gone over 1.5 bases in seven of 12 games so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\">Steer over 1.5 bases (+128)<\/a>:<\/strong> If you only look at how Steer&#8217;s season has gone so far, this pick would be a tough sell.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The designated hitter and corner outfielder is batting 5-for-35 (.143) with three extra-base hits through 10 games. That&#8217;s certainly not ideal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I&#8217;m a big fan of tonight&#8217;s matchup given that it comes with a platoon advantage, in an offence-friendly environment, against a pitcher Steer has crushed in the past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The right-hitting Steer has a .455 SLG in his career against left-handed pitching.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cincinnati&#8217;s Great American Ballpark is 6% above average in run production and 27% above average in home run rate, per Baseball Savant.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Against Pirates lefty Bailey Falter, Steer is 7-for-13 with two doubles and a home run. Also, Falter has allowed 14 hits in 10.0 innings to start the year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNDU3MiZsPTEzNTc4NzU5JnA9MjM3Njk%3D\">Machado over 1.5 bases (+112)<\/a>: <\/strong>I&#8217;m loving this price for Machado, who has a clean .340\/.400\/.500 slash line through 13 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Machado has cashed this bet in three straight, as well as in eight of 13 games on the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He has also seen plenty of at-bats against Rockies starter German Marquez and should be a threat to do serious damage from the No. 3 spot in the Padres&#8217; order.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Against Marquez, Machado is 12-for-29 with a double and a home run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 12:00 p.m. ET on 04\/11\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking to get started? <a href=\"https:\/\/online.northstarbets.ca\/page?key=ej0xMzUyNzQxMyZsPTEzNTI3NDExJnA9MjMyNDM%3D\">Sign up here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve got a trio of bases props in my crosshairs for Friday&#8217;s MLB action. The pregame narrative: Spencer Torkelson and Manny Machado are both off to great starts that I expect to continue tonight. And though it hasn&#8217;t been as smooth of a ride for Spencer Steer, his matchup is a compelling one to target, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":339236,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-339186","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets April 11: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for April 11, 2025. 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