{"id":339132,"date":"2025-04-10T15:01:24","date_gmt":"2025-04-10T19:01:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=339132"},"modified":"2025-04-10T15:34:13","modified_gmt":"2025-04-10T19:34:13","slug":"ufc-314-predictions-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/ufc-314-predictions-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC 314 predictions and best bets: Bet on Volkanovski to reclaim title, Pimblett vs. Chandler to end early"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Alexander Volkanovski looks to reclaim the featherweight title at UFC 314 on Saturday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pre-fight narrative:<\/strong> Volkanovski enters this fight as a favourite over Diego Lopes, after Ilia Topuria moved to the lightweight division and vacated the belt. I like the Australian to win and am also expecting the co-main event between Paddy Pimblett and Michael Chandler to end in fireworks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my UFC 314 predictions for the April 12 event in Miami.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 314 predictions overview<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Click link to add selection to betslip. Note: Lines have changed\/market no longer available if grey.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 314 predictions<\/strong><\/td>Odds<\/strong><\/td>Bet now \u2b07\ufe0f<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Volkanovski to win<\/td>-129<\/td>Add to betslip<\/a><\/td><\/tr>
Pimblett\/Chandler under 2.5 rounds<\/td>-143<\/td>Add to betslip<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC 314 predictions made at 2:00 p.m. ET on 04\/10\/25.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Go to full UFC 314 betting markets<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 314 predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet: Volkanovski to win (-129)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

I’m eating the chalk with my UFC 314 picks, but that’s not a bad thing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Volkanovski was once the best pound-for-pound fighter in the promotion, holding that title in 2022 and 2023. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He’s lost three of his last four bouts, though two came against Islam Makhachev at lightweight, and one against Topuria, who’s no longer competing in the division. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Outside of that, the Aussie boats a 26-1 record with his only other loss coming in 2013. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I expect Volkanovski to return to the winner’s circle against Lopez, who has won five fights in a row. Why? Volkanovski has incredible stamina and is the better technical fighter, and I expect him to wear down his opponent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lopes has never fought in the championship rounds in the top promotion, securing his last two wins by decision after 15 minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Aussie lands more strikes per minute (6.16 to 4.2), has a better striking defence (58% to 50%), lands more takedowns per 15 minutes (1.79 to 0.5) and has a better takedown defence (70.0% to 52.0%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There are concerns about Volkanovski’s chin, considering Lopes has knockout power. That said, Volk is a seasoned veteran, and I trust him to control the pace on Saturday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Volkanovski is 26-2 as a featherweight. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Pimblett\/Chandler under 2.5 rounds (-143):<\/strong> Pimblett has made a name for himself as a showman, picking up 16 of his 22 career wins via finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Englishman is 6-0 since joining the UFC in 2021, with four wins coming in the first two rounds. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

And now he’s going up against a man who lives and dies by the finish. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • Chandler has fought 32 times, and only nine of those fights have gone to decision. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Seven of his last nine fights have ended before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      • On a per-minute basis, Chandler lands (4.49) and absorbs (4.3) strikes at a high clip.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

        I like Pimblett to win this bout, and was debating backing him to win via KO at -115. But Chandler still has some lightning in his gloves, and it wouldn’t shock me if he caught Pibmlett with a bomb in the early going. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Alexander Volkanovski looks to reclaim the featherweight title at UFC 314 on Saturday. The pre-fight narrative: Volkanovski enters this fight as a favourite over Diego Lopes, after Ilia Topuria moved to the lightweight division and vacated the belt. I like the Australian to win and am also expecting the co-main event between Paddy Pimblett and […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":339150,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[63],"tags":[141],"class_list":["post-339132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ufc","tag-ufc"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nUFC 314 predictions and best bet | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our UFC 314 predictions for April 12. 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