{"id":339113,"date":"2025-04-10T11:47:38","date_gmt":"2025-04-10T15:47:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=339113"},"modified":"2025-04-10T11:47:38","modified_gmt":"2025-04-10T15:47:38","slug":"mlb-prop-bets-april-10-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/mlb-prop-bets-april-10-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Best MLB prop bets April 10: Fade Realmuto, bet on Witt and Ward to score"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>It&#8217;s getaway day in MLB, with five afternoon games and just one evening matchup on tap.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: In the evening, look for J.T. Realmuto to struggle against an emerging ace from the Atlanta Braves. Earlier on, I like Taylor Ward and Bobby Witt Jr. both to score a run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out the best MLB prop bets for April 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">MLB prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\">Full MLB betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\">MLB injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\">MLB player stats<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\">MLB standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: <strong>Realmuto under 0.5 hits (+115)<\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Spencer Schwellenbach gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves tonight, and this pick is a way to back him as much as it&#8217;s a way to fade Realmuto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let&#8217;s give Schwellenbach some flowers first, after the right-hander started Year 2 by torching his first two opponents:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>14.0 innings<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>0 runs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3 hits<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>14 Ks<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Schwellenbach ranks in the 85th percentile or better in xERA, chase rate, whiff rate and walk rate, per Baseball Savant. So his stuff backs up the strong start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So what chance does Realmuto have to do damage? In my opinion, not a great one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The catcher is 7-for-31 (.226) with nine strikeouts to start the year, going hitless in four of nine games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Schwellenbach has six pitch offerings, and I&#8217;m hoping he leans on his cutter against Realmuto. Last year, righties batted just 6-for-32 (.188) against Schwellenbach&#8217;s cutter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Realmuto was just 3-for-24 (.125) against cutters in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Schwellenbach has held right-handed hitters to a .187 BA so far in his career (263 plate appearances).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best MLB picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Witt over 0.5 runs (+100):<\/strong> My initial instinct was to back Witt over 1.5 bases, but his run prop price is actually a bit better. Both options look like smash plays to me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Witt hasn&#8217;t set the world on fire yet, but he&#8217;s off to a solid start with a .255\/.340\/.426 slash line (122 OPS+). And now he&#8217;ll face a pitcher who he&#8217;s dominated in the past.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Against Twins right-hander Bailey Ober, Witt is 9-for-19 with two triples and a home run. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a whole, the Royals&#8217; active lineup has been a nightmare for Ober: 33-for-105 (.314 BA), .600 SLG, 19.5% K rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ober coughed up 14 runs on 19 hits in 13.1 innings against the Royals last season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From the No. 2 spot in Kansas City&#8217;s lineup, Witt is in an excellent position to score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ward over 0.5 runs (-108): <\/strong>I can&#8217;t sugarcoat Ward&#8217;s start to the season. It&#8217;s been pretty ugly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But that&#8217;s why he has such a compelling price today on his runs prop. And a .523 OPS through 11 games isn&#8217;t going to deter me when the matchup is right.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ward and the Angels face Rays right-hander Zack Littell, who hasn&#8217;t fared well against L.A.&#8217;s active lineup in the past:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>62 plate appearances<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>19-for-53 (.358 BA)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>.642 SLG<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Ward, who homered last night, is 2-for-5 with a walk against Littell. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>His ability to succeed in this matchup, combined with the Angels&#8217; overall success against Littell, gives me faith that the speedy outfielder can get it done.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>MLB prop picks made at 11:45 a.m. ET on 04\/10\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s getaway day in MLB, with five afternoon games and just one evening matchup on tap. The pregame narrative: In the evening, look for J.T. Realmuto to struggle against an emerging ace from the Atlanta Braves. Earlier on, I like Taylor Ward and Bobby Witt Jr. both to score a run. Check out the best [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":339092,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-339113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MLB prop bets April 10: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best MLB prop bets for April 10, 2025. 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