{"id":338831,"date":"2025-04-08T11:37:20","date_gmt":"2025-04-08T15:37:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=338831"},"modified":"2025-04-08T11:37:20","modified_gmt":"2025-04-08T15:37:20","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-red-sox-april-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-red-sox-april-8\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs. Red Sox prop picks April 8: Garrett Crochet should work deep against Toronto"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Garrett Crochet takes the mound for the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday night with the Toronto Blue Jays in town.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Toronto won the series opener but should have a tougher task in this game. I like Crochet to work deep and Kristian Campbell to score for Boston, while Ernie Clement has value as a fade candidate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox for April 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\">Full MLB betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\">MLB injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\">MLB player stats<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\">MLB standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Campbell over 0.5 runs (+125)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This was my best bet on Monday, but Campbell had the day off. Assuming he&#8217;s back in tonight, I&#8217;ll gladly give it another go.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Campbell is one of those unique rookies playing with the comfort of financial stability. He signed an eight-year, $60 million deal with the Red Sox after just one week in the majors, and it&#8217;s easy to see why Boston ponied up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 2023 draftee has done a remarkable job getting on base. Through 10 games, he&#8217;s 12-for-33 with eight walks and a .364\/.476\/.667 slash line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Campbell has reached safely in all 10 games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has reached base 2+ times in 8 of 10 games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>One reason this price is available on Campbell&#8217;s run prop is that he hasn&#8217;t been promoted within the lineup yet. The 22-year-old has been in the bottom half of the order each game, typically slotted into the No. 6 or 7 spot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, his on-base capabilities create enough scoring chances that I&#8217;m content to buy in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Campbell will face left-hander Easton Lucas, who was pushed back a day in favour of Jose Berrios. Lucas carved up the Nationals in his season debut, but doesn&#8217;t have a track record that worries me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In two minor league seasons, the right-handed Campbell batted .340 with a .461 OBP against left-handers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Campbell has scored in seven of his past eight games, with 10 total runs in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Prop predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Crochet over 17.5 outs (-150):<\/strong> One of the big knocks on Crochet last year was his inability to work deep into games. But that&#8217;s not completely fair.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Crochet was in his first year as a starter, and the White Sox made a midseason decision to curtail his innings workload.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>First three months of 2024 season:<\/strong> 18 starts, 16.9 outs per start, 11 games with 18+ outs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Final three months of 2024 season:<\/strong> 14 starts, 9.6 outs per start, zero games with 18+ outs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>I anticipate that being much less of an issue this year, especially since the Red Sox inked their new ace to a $170 million contract extension. Crochet is in Boston to shove.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last year, prior to the innings restriction, Crochet threw 6.0 innings of scoreless, two-hit ball against the Blue Jays. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Clement under 0.5 hits (+145):<\/strong> Once again, this is a pick I made yesterday before Clement was held out of the starting lineup. But I like the play even more with Crochet on the bump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Clement is just 2-for-19 (.105) this season. And his batted ball metrics at Baseball Savant suggest he&#8217;s earned those unsightly results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>1st percentile xBA (.094)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1st percentile xSLG (.146)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2nd percentile hard-hit rate (12.5%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Given that Clement also has an 86th-percentile walk rate (16.0%), this is someone who could easily add another hitless day to his ledger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Clement is hitless in 15 plate appearances so far in April. He&#8217;s 1-for-2 off Crochet, but this price for an ice-cold hitter is calling to me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Blue Jays vs. Red Sox picks made at 11:10 a.m. ET on 04\/08\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Garrett Crochet takes the mound for the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday night with the Toronto Blue Jays in town. The pregame narrative: Toronto won the series opener but should have a tougher task in this game. I like Crochet to work deep and Kristian Campbell to score for Boston, while Ernie Clement has value [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":338820,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-338831","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox: April 8 MLB betting | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks vs. Red Sox for April 8, 2025. 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