{"id":338508,"date":"2025-04-06T12:16:44","date_gmt":"2025-04-06T16:16:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=338508"},"modified":"2025-04-06T12:16:44","modified_gmt":"2025-04-06T16:16:44","slug":"blue-jays-vs-mets-sgp-predictions-april-6-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-vs-mets-sgp-predictions-april-6-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays vs. Mets SGP predictions April 6: Fade Santander, back Lindor in +350 parlay"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>After sweeping a different NL East opponent last week, the Toronto Blue Jays are at risk of being on the wrong end of the broom against the New York Mets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Bowden Francis gets the ball for Toronto, and I like him to at least keep things tight at the halfway mark. My three-leg parlay also features prop bets on Francisco Lindor and Anthony Santander.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my +350 SGP Blue Jays vs. Mets predictions for April 6.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays vs. Mets predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/baseball\/mlb?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=sportsbook_mlb\">Full MLB betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=injury_reports\">MLB injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=stats_pages\">MLB stats &amp; standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SGP: Blue Jays +0.5 &#8211; F5 | Lindor over 0.5 hits | Santander under 1.5 bases (+350)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:112182\">Embed: #112182<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong>Blue Jays +0.5 &#8211; first five innings <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>(-137):<\/strong> Francis took a no-hitter into the ninth inning against the Mets last year, and then disaster struck.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He coughed up a home run to the first batter of that final frame, and Toronto unravelled from there in a 6-2 loss. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let&#8217;s not worry about the late innings in Francis&#8217; rematch against the Mets. I&#8217;m a big fan of this F5 wager that&#8217;ll cash as long as Toronto is tied or ahead at the halfway mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you follow Toronto, you know that Francis was the best story from an underperforming team down the stretch in 2024. He joined the rotation full time on Aug. 7 and posted a 1.53 ERA (with a .121 opponent BA) in his final nine outings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tack on Francis&#8217; 2025 debut, and the Jays are 8-1-1 on the F5 moneyline in his past 10 starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Mets are only 3-5-0 on the F5 moneyline so far this year, according to OddsShark. The Jays are 6-3-0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">MLB SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Lindor over 0.5 hits (-186):<\/strong> Anyone remember who broke up Francis&#8217; no-no last year? That&#8217;s right, it was Lindor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Though he&#8217;s off to a whisper-quiet start in 2025, Lindor is a solid candidate to notch a hit on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New York&#8217;s leadoff man has a hit in four straight games \u2014 including a double in back-to-back matchups against Toronto<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Francis had a 5.4% walk rate last year, which ranked in the 89th percentile, per Baseball Savant. And he only had a league-average K rate (22.5%, 46th percentile).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lindor should be able to put the ball in play, and from the top of the order, I think he can find grass at least once.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Santander under 1.5 bases (-250):<\/strong> Like Lindor, Santander is off to a disappointing start this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 44-homer man from a year ago has just one extra-base hit \u2014 a double \u2014 through nine games with the Jays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s extremely early, but the batted-ball metrics aren&#8217;t painting an encouraging picture (percentile rankings in parentheses):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>.199 xBA (24th)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>.281 xSLG (18th)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>4.0% barrel rate (26th)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>24.0% hard-hit rate (12th)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The switch-hitter is 1-for-6 with a single and a strikeout against Mets left-hander David Peterson. It could be another grind of a day for the corner outfielder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Blue Jays vs. Mets predictions made at 12:00 p.m. ET on 04\/06\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After sweeping a different NL East opponent last week, the Toronto Blue Jays are at risk of being on the wrong end of the broom against the New York Mets. The pregame narrative: Bowden Francis gets the ball for Toronto, and I like him to at least keep things tight at the halfway mark. My [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":338537,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-338508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays vs. Mets predictions: April 6 MLB SGP | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays vs. Mets predictions for April 6, 2025. 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