{"id":337978,"date":"2025-04-05T10:51:07","date_gmt":"2025-04-05T14:51:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=337978"},"modified":"2025-04-05T10:51:08","modified_gmt":"2025-04-05T14:51:08","slug":"duke-vs-houston-final-four-sgp-predictions-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/duke-vs-houston-final-four-sgp-predictions-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Duke vs. Houston Final Four SGP predictions: Fade offence, bet on Khaman Maluach in +350 parlay"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The second entrant into the March Madness national championship game comes down to Saturday&#8217;s matchup between the Duke Blue Devils and Houston Cougars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> In a battle of 1-seeds, it&#8217;s tough to find an edge. Instead of picking a side, I like the alt under between two elite defences. This +350 SGP also features props on Khaman Maluach and J&#8217;Wan Roberts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Duke vs. Houston SGP predictions for their Final Four matchup on April 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Duke vs. Houston predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2022<strong>BOOST: Duke -4.5, under 137.5 points, Flagg 20+ points (+633). <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/specials?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=northstar_specials\">Bet now<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022BOOST: Florida ML, Clayton Jr. &amp; Broome 20+ points each (+578). <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/specials?utm_source=insights&amp;utm_medium=text_link&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=&amp;utm_campaign=northstar_specials\">Bet now<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/ncaab\"><strong>Full March Madness Markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/march\"><strong>PLAY NOW: Un-Bustable Bracket Challenge<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Under 140.5 points | Maluach over 7.5 points | Roberts 6+ rebounds (+350)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:112130\">Embed: #112130<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Under 140.5 points (-155)<\/strong>: I already touted this pick in a different <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/march-madness-parlay-predictions-final-four-2025\">Final Four parlay<\/a>, and I\u2019m bullish enough on it to double down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among all 364 NCAA Division I schools, Duke and Houston rank No. 1 and 2, respectively, in opponent effective field goal percentage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston is also No. 1 in scoring defence (58.3 points\/game) while playing at the fifth-slowest pace in the country, per KenPom.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since Feb. 15, 12 of Houston\u2019s 14 games have gone under this total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In last year\u2019s NCAA tournament, Houston and Duke squared off in the Elite Eight \u2014 and the Blue Devils won a rock fight, 54-51.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Duke is a much different squad now, but Houston has four starters from that game back in action. I expect a slow pace in which two heavyweight foes take their time throwing punches. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>BartTorvik.com projects just 129 points in Saturday\u2019s game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAA SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>Maluach over 7.5 points<\/strong><\/strong> (-177):<\/strong> Houston\u2019s stout defence is built on feisty guard play \u2014 not elite size.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In fact, not a single player on the roster is taller than 6-foot-8. Size isn\u2019t everything, but I do think the 7-foot-2 Maluach has an advantage the Blue Devils will want to exploit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The South Sudan native has started all 38 of Duke\u2019s games as a freshman, and he\u2019s really been coming into his own in postseason play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>11.6 PPG<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>8+ points in 7 of 7 games<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>81.8 FG%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>87.5 FT%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Gonzaga&#8217;s Graham Ike (6-foot-9) and Purdue&#8217;s Trey Kaufman-Renn (6-foot-9) both cruised past this number against Houston in previous tourney rounds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>Roberts 6+ rebounds <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>(-210):<\/strong> Although Houston lacks size, <em>someone<\/em> on the Cougars will be bringing in rebounds. And Roberts is the man for the job.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The fifth-year senior paces the team with 6.3 rebounds per game.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has 6+ rebounds in 22 of 35 games this season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In the Elite Eight, Roberts only grabbed two boards. But he also only played 16 minutes, due to foul trouble plus the fact that it was a blowout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Roberts typically plays 30-plus minutes, so he&#8217;ll have plenty of opportunities. He had eight rebounds against Duke in last year&#8217;s tournament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Duke vs. Houston predictions made at 1:00 p.m. on 04\/04\/25<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The second entrant into the March Madness national championship game comes down to Saturday&#8217;s matchup between the Duke Blue Devils and Houston Cougars. The pregame narrative: In a battle of 1-seeds, it&#8217;s tough to find an edge. Instead of picking a side, I like the alt under between two elite defences. This +350 SGP also [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":337992,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[75],"tags":[21],"class_list":["post-337978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-basketball","tag-college-basketball-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Duke vs. Houston predictions: NCAA Final Four SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our NCAA Duke vs. Houston predictions. 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