{"id":336057,"date":"2025-03-26T13:30:33","date_gmt":"2025-03-26T17:30:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=336057"},"modified":"2025-03-26T13:30:34","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T17:30:34","slug":"blue-jays-picks-vs-orioles-opening-day-march-27","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/blue-jays-picks-vs-orioles-opening-day-march-27\/","title":{"rendered":"Blue Jays 2025 Opening Day picks vs. Orioles: Bet on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to bash in March 27 season opener"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>A long, cold winter is over. Toronto Blue Jays baseball is back with Thursday&#8217;s Opening Day matchup against the Baltimore Orioles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> For the second consecutive year, Jose Berrios and Zach Eflin will duke it out in the season opener. I&#8217;m backing the Jays on the five-inning moneyline and looking for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\">Vladimir Guerrero Jr.<\/a> to do damage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best Blue Jays picks vs. the Orioles for Opening Day on March 27.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Blue Jays picks vs. Orioles<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/baseball\/competitions\/10065\">Full MLB betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/mlb-injury-report\">MLB injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/top-players\/hitting\/OPS-on-base_plus_slugging\">MLB player stats<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/mlb\/standings\/division\">MLB standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Guerrero over 1.5 bases (+105)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At a plus-money price, Guerrero&#8217;s bases prop was always worth a look last season \u2014 especially in the second half.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out Vladdy&#8217;s post-all-star production in 2024:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>.376 BA<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1.127 OPS<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2+ bases in 37 of 63 games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>That late-season push didn&#8217;t lead to a $500-plus-million extension in the offseason, but it served as a reminder of how elite Guerrero is with a bat in his hands.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2024, Guerrero posted the highest xBA in the majors (.321), per Baseball Savant, and ranked in the 98th percentile in xSLG (.567) and average exit velocity (93.8 mph).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Opening Day, he&#8217;s in a great matchup to mash against Eflin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Guerrero is 7-for-19 (.368) with two HRs and one double against Eflin.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Eflin had a 98th-percentile walk rate in 2024 (3.5%), which is a plus for bases props because walks don&#8217;t count toward the total.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>At home last season, Guerrero batted .335 with a .970 OPS in 79 games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Expect Vladdy to put on a show for the Rogers Centre crowd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Guerrero went over 1.5 bases in all four games against Eflin last year (three times while Eflin was with the Rays, and once while he was with the Orioles).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Blue Jays tie no bet &#8211; first five innings (-110):<\/strong> Whether he was on the Rays or the O&#8217;s last year, Eflin got knocked around pretty good by Toronto&#8217;s lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In four starts, he allowed 15 runs (5.79 ERA) and a .313\/.327\/.515 opponent slash line. Woof.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto went 3-1-0 on the F5 moneyline in those games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Berrios went 0-1-1 on the F5 moneyline against the O&#8217;s last year (remember, Eflin was still on the Rays when they faced each other), but with just two total F5 runs from the Toronto lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given that Berrios has a 2.96 ERA in eight starts against Baltimore since 2022, I think it&#8217;s fair to expect he&#8217;ll hold up his end of the bargain. Especially with the Orioles&#8217; top hitter, Gunnar Henderson, sidelined with an injury.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Blue Jays picks made at 1:20 p.m. on 03\/26\/25.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A long, cold winter is over. Toronto Blue Jays baseball is back with Thursday&#8217;s Opening Day matchup against the Baltimore Orioles. The pregame narrative: For the second consecutive year, Jose Berrios and Zach Eflin will duke it out in the season opener. I&#8217;m backing the Jays on the five-inning moneyline and looking for Vladimir Guerrero [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":335996,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,60],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-336057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-mlb","tag-mlb-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Blue Jays picks &amp; odds vs. Orioles: 2025 Opening Day | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Blue Jays picks and props vs. Orioles for March 27. 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