{"id":335942,"date":"2025-03-26T09:58:30","date_gmt":"2025-03-26T13:58:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=335942"},"modified":"2025-03-26T09:59:13","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T13:59:13","slug":"march-madness-prop-bets-sweet-16-march-27-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/march-madness-prop-bets-sweet-16-march-27-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Thursday&#8217;s best March Madness Sweet 16 prop bets: Ride with Arizona&#8217;s Caleb Love, Alabama&#8217;s Grant Nelson"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>There are four Sweet 16 games on Thursday&#8217;s March Madness slate, and I have prop bets from three of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Grant Nelson (Alabama) was healthy and productive in the second round, and I expect him to have a solid performance on the glass. I&#8217;m also backing Caleb Love (Arizona) and fading D.J. Wagner (Arkansas).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out the best March Madness prop bets for March 27.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">March Madness prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.northstarbets.ca%2Fsportsbook%2Fsports-hub%2Fbasketball%2Fncaab&amp;data=05%7C02%7CJordan.Horrobin%40northstargaming.ca%7Cbeebaea6edef4ee6bff508dd6559142b%7Ca474078ecda74c118881901a044d2bef%7C0%7C0%7C638778155464096400%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=YpNgDkdfZ%2BeP5BoA6jmv5cSlxJl53smxrlbwYUmGXW0%3D&amp;reserved=0\">Full March Madness Markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/can01.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.northstarbets.ca%2Fsportsbook%2Fnews%2Fmarch&amp;data=05%7C02%7CJordan.Horrobin%40northstargaming.ca%7Cbeebaea6edef4ee6bff508dd6559142b%7Ca474078ecda74c118881901a044d2bef%7C0%7C0%7C638778155464120503%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=ev7AbXrklRhS5b%2BeAH3I4J12SpqfJ3N3WktmiUo9iMA%3D&amp;reserved=0\">PLAY NOW: Un-Bustable Bracket Challenge<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best Bet: Nelson over 6.5 rebounds (-150)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:111709\">Embed: #111709<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There&#8217;s a lot of juice on this prop, and taking Nelson to record 8+ rebounds (+110) isn&#8217;t out of the question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But if you&#8217;d rather go with a safer route, this is the lane to take.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Nelson averages 7.5 rebounds per game.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He has 7+ rebounds in 24 of 35 games this season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Nelson grabbed eight rebounds in Sunday&#8217;s matchup against Saint Mary&#8217;s in his return to the starting lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After injuring his knee 10 minutes into an SEC tournament game on March 15, Nelson played just seven minutes off the bench for the Alabama Crimson Tide in their March Madness opener.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seeing him return to a standard workload (28 minutes) was nice. The ensuing three days off should be a boon for his rebounding opportunities on Thursday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>BYU is a solid rebounding team, ranking 32nd in NCAA Division I defensive rebounding rate (76.0%) and 71st in offensive rebounding rate (31.9%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the 6-foot-11 Nelson will be the tallest player on the floor Thursday, and he&#8217;s excelled against tougher rebounding matchups in the past. Saint Mary&#8217;s, for example, is in the top 10 in rebounding rate on both sides of the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Since last year, Nelson has gone over 6.5 rebounds in four of his past five March Madness games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best March Madness picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Wagner under 3.5 assists (-124):<\/strong> Wagner has gone <em>over<\/em> 3.5 assists in five straight games &#8230; so what&#8217;s up with the fade?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>First and foremost, Boogie Fland&#8217;s usage could be on the rise. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After missing the final two months of the season due to injury, Fland played 20-plus minutes off the bench in the Arkansas Razorbacks&#8217; first two NCAA tourney games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I assume he&#8217;ll be more ramped up now. Pre-injury, he averaged 34.1 minutes and a team-high 5.7 assists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Notably, Wagner went under 3.5 assists in 13 of 18 regular season games with a healthy Fland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, this matchup isn&#8217;t a good one for facilitators anyway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Texas Tech Red Raiders allow the 24th-fewest assists per game.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>TTU ranks 52nd in defensive assist rate (46.6%), per KenPom.com.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Love over 17.5 points <\/strong>(-103)<\/strong>: Does Love have another signature March moment in him?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fifth-year guard took over at the end of his Arizona Wildcats&#8217; victory on Sunday, canning five 3s and racking up 29 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now he faces a Duke squad that is the tallest in D-I by average height and allows the third-lowest 2-point percentage (43.1%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Love should be encouraged to fire from long range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Love is averaging 19.3 PPG in his past 10 games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>It&#8217;s in the relatively distant past now, but Love is remembered by many for his 28-point performance against Duke in the 2022 Final Four (as a member of North Carolina).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>March Madness prop bets made at 9:40 a.m. ET on 03\/26\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There are four Sweet 16 games on Thursday&#8217;s March Madness slate, and I have prop bets from three of them. The pregame narrative: Grant Nelson (Alabama) was healthy and productive in the second round, and I expect him to have a solid performance on the glass. I&#8217;m also backing Caleb Love (Arizona) and fading D.J. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":335951,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[75],"tags":[21],"class_list":["post-335942","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-basketball","tag-college-basketball-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>March Madness prop bets March 27: Sweet 16 picks | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best March Madness prop bets for March 27, 2025. 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