{"id":335303,"date":"2025-03-21T13:42:26","date_gmt":"2025-03-21T17:42:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=335303"},"modified":"2025-03-22T09:53:09","modified_gmt":"2025-03-22T13:53:09","slug":"miami-open-best-bets-round-of-64","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/miami-open-best-bets-round-of-64\/","title":{"rendered":"Miami Open best bets on Canadians Denis Shapovalov, Gabriel Diallo: Round of 64 tennis picks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Two Canadians take the court in Miami on Saturday and I have picks for both matches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Denis Shapovalov has been steadily making his way up the ATP rankings and I’m taking the Canadian to win comfortably in his round of 64 match. I can’t say the same for Gabriel Diallo as I’m fading him against Arthur Fils.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my top Miami Open best bets for March 22.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Miami Open best bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Best bet: Shapovalov -4.5 games (+105)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Canadian has been dominant against lower-seeded competition in 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of his five losses, only one has come to an opponent ranked outside of the top 50 and it was to No. 64 Kei Nishikori in his first match of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shapovalov has had a hard schedule, playing opponents with an average rank of 39.25 this year, per Matchstat.com. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Visit full Miami Open betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But in the three games against players outside of the top 50, he’s 3-0 against this spread, winning every set.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shapovalov’s strong play against mostly tough competition (11-5 record) has bumped him up to the No 28 ranked player on tour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He faces No. 117 ranked Thiago Tirante in the round of 64 at the Miami Open.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Argentinian player is 11-5 this year but has an average opponent rank of 195.69. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> Tirante’s highest-ranked opponent this season was Joao Fonseca (No. 60) and he lost in straight sets (6-4, 6-1).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Diallo round of 64 pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Fils -2.5 games (-125):<\/strong> This is eerily similar to the situation at Indian Wells a couple of weeks ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Diallo loses his qualifying match, gets another chance as a lucky loser, and wins to advance to the round of 64 to play Fils. And I can’t help but feel like a similar result is loading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fils dominated that matchup, winning 12-of-16 games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He went on to beat two other respectable opponents (Lorenzo Musetti, Marcos Giron) before running into Daniil Medvedev and narrowly losing on a tiebreaker set.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Diallo’s done well to win the games he should, but he’s fallen short in the big matches this season and I think that’ll continue against Fils who’s in top form at the moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Miami Open best bets made at 1:41 p.m. on 03\/21\/25<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Two Canadians take the court in Miami on Saturday and I have picks for both matches. The pregame narrative: Denis Shapovalov has been steadily making his way up the ATP rankings and I’m taking the Canadian to win comfortably in his round of 64 match. I can’t say the same for Gabriel Diallo as I’m […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":335288,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,71],"tags":[129,197],"class_list":["post-335303","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-tennis","tag-tennis-betting","tag-tennis-picks"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMiami Open best bets round of 64: Shapovalov, Diallo picks | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Miami Open best bets for the round of 64. 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