{"id":334590,"date":"2025-03-18T11:42:31","date_gmt":"2025-03-18T15:42:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=334590"},"modified":"2025-03-19T12:38:28","modified_gmt":"2025-03-19T16:38:28","slug":"north-carolina-vs-san-diego-state-first-four-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/north-carolina-vs-san-diego-state-first-four-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"North Carolina vs. San Diego State First Four SGP predictions: Bet on RJ Davis, Nick Boyd in +475 parlay"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Do the North Carolina Tar Heels belong in March Madness? We&#8217;ll find out Tuesday night when they face the San Diego State Aztecs in First Four play-in action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> UNC was arguably the most lenient addition to the 68-team field after putting up a shaky regular season resume. I&#8217;m riding with San Diego State on an alt spread while backing RJ Davis and Nick Boyd in the prop market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my North Carolina vs. San Diego State SGP predictions for their First Four college basketball matchup on March 18.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">North Carolina vs. San Diego State predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/basketball\/competitions\/10530\">Full March Madness Markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/un-bustable-bracket-challenge\">PLAY NOW: Un-Bustable Bracket Challenge<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: SDSU +7.5 | Davis over 16.5 points | Boyd over 1.5 threes (+475)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>San Diego State +7.5 (-182):<\/strong> I backed the Aztecs at +4.5 in one of my <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/march-madness-first-four-predictions-ncaa-tournament\">First Four best bets<\/a> for Tuesday, so let&#8217;s kick off this SGP by banking a few extra points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>North Carolina is 8-2 in its past 10 games, and both losses in that span came against Duke. Sounds nice, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sure, except that it illustrates the Tar Heels&#8217; smoke-and-mirrors record this season. UNC is 22-13 overall, but just 1-12 in Quad 1 matchups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>San Diego State is a Quad 1-calibre foe with an elite defence, ranking first in block rate (18.5%) and sixth in effective field goal percentage (45.3%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, the Aztecs are 3-6 in Quad 1 matchups \u2014 including wins over Houston and Creighton.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both KenPom.com and BartTorvik.com project a two-point victory for UNC tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAA SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Davis 15+ points (-106):<\/strong> Tuesday could be Davis&#8217; last game in Carolina blue. I expect him to play with plenty of urgency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Davis is the focal point of UNC&#8217;s offence, leading the team in every notable volume stat:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>PPG (17.8)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>FGA (13.3)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3PA (6.5)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>He also plays a team-high 34.4 minutes per night. So again, it&#8217;s fair to expect him to leave it all out on the floor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fifth-year senior has seen plenty of highs and lows in his career as a Tar Heel. With an 18.2 PPG scoring average over the past three seasons, he&#8217;s proven to be a reliable offensive asset many times over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since the 2022-23 season, Davis has cashed this milestone in 74 of 105 games (70.5%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Boyd 2+ threes (-130):<\/strong> Two years ago, Boyd torched San Diego State in a Final Four matchup by shooting 4-for-7 from deep as a member of the Florida Atlantic Owls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now he&#8217;s the Aztecs&#8217; leading scorer, looking to ride a hot streak from 3-point range to lift SDSU back into the Round of 64.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Boyd has 2+ threes in 5 of his past 6 games, with a 48.4 3PT% in that span.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Boyd has 2+ threes in 17 of 30 games this season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Tar Heels play at the 34th-fastest adjusted tempo, per KenPom, so Boyd could get additional looks if they push the pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>North Carolina vs. San Diego State predictions made at 11:00 a.m. on 03\/18\/25<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Do the North Carolina Tar Heels belong in March Madness? We&#8217;ll find out Tuesday night when they face the San Diego State Aztecs in First Four play-in action. The pregame narrative: UNC was arguably the most lenient addition to the 68-team field after putting up a shaky regular season resume. I&#8217;m riding with San Diego [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":334573,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,75],"tags":[21],"class_list":["post-334590","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-college-basketball","tag-college-basketball-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>North Carolina vs. San Diego State predictions: First Four | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our North Carolina vs. San Diego State predictions. 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