{"id":333598,"date":"2025-03-12T11:42:54","date_gmt":"2025-03-12T15:42:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=333598"},"modified":"2025-03-12T11:42:54","modified_gmt":"2025-03-12T15:42:54","slug":"thunder-vs-celtics-prop-picks-march-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/thunder-vs-celtics-prop-picks-march-12\/","title":{"rendered":"Thunder vs. Celtics prop picks March 12: Back Chet Holmgren, fade Jayson Tatum"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Boston Celtics host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a potential NBA Finals preview on Wednesday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Boston and OKC are tied with the shortest odds to win the Larry O&#8217;Brien Trophy (+175) and the former is a 2.5-point favourites as of 11:30 a.m. Look for Chet Holmgren to provide secondary scoring and fade Jayson Tatum&#8217;s assist total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Thunder vs. Celtics prop picks for March 12.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Thunder vs. Celtics prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/basketball\/competitions\/10240\"><strong>Full NBA betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report-news\"><strong>NBA injury report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players\"><strong>NBA player stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/standings\"><strong>NBA standings<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best Bet: Holmgren over 15.5 points (-130)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This line asks a lot out of Holmgren, who&#8217;s slumping and averaging just 14.6 PPG this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The third-year forward is 0-4 against this line in his last four games, shooting 40.0% from the field and 1-of-14 from deep.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But there are a few reasons why I believe he&#8217;s due for a turnaround. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>First off, some positive regression is bound to happen. Holmgren cleared this line in three straight games before his slump while shooting 6-of-12 from deep.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More importantly, though, is the absence of Jalen Williams. The forward is second to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in minutes (32.6), points (21.3) and field-goal attempts (16.9) per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Holmgren is 11-7 against this line when playing 20-plus minutes without Williams, per Stat Muse.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>In the seven games he fell short, he had either 14 or 15 points five times.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Boston is great at containing power forwards but I like this play from a volume standpoint alone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Excluding a contest where he left after five minutes with an injury, Holmgren has scored 19, 20 and 29 points in his last three games without Williams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tatum under 6.5 assists (-130):<\/strong> I don&#8217;t love these odds but believe the juice is worth the squeeze for Tatum on Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>OKC owns the league&#8217;s best defensive rating (106.1) and allows the fourth-fewest assists per game (24.4).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Thunder do a particularly strong job at limiting power forwards in the assists department, per Fantasy Pros:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Third-fewest APG on the season (3.79)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Seventh-fewest APG in the last 30 days (3.93)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Tatum averages 5.8 helpers a night and has fallen under this mark in 35 of 60 starts (58.3%). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 14 career starts against OKC, Tatum has fallen under this mark 13 times. He has three or fewer assists in 10 of those games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Thunder vs. Celtics prop picks made at 11:30 a.m. ET 03\/12\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Boston Celtics host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a potential NBA Finals preview on Wednesday night. The pregame narrative: Boston and OKC are tied with the shortest odds to win the Larry O&#8217;Brien Trophy (+175) and the former is a 2.5-point favourites as of 11:30 a.m. Look for Chet Holmgren to provide secondary scoring [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":333579,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,62],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-333598","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nba","tag-nba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Thunder vs. Celtics prop picks: March 12 | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Thunder vs. Celtics prop picks for March 12. 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