{"id":333445,"date":"2025-03-11T13:58:58","date_gmt":"2025-03-11T17:58:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=333445"},"modified":"2025-03-11T13:58:59","modified_gmt":"2025-03-11T17:58:59","slug":"ncaa-mens-basketball-parlay-predictions-march-11-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/ncaa-mens-basketball-parlay-predictions-march-11-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NCAA men&#8217;s college basketball parlay predictions March 11: Saint Mary&#8217;s should cover vs. Gonzaga"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Gonzaga Bulldogs meet the No. 19 Saint Mary&#8217;s Gaels in the West Coast Conference tournament final on Tuesday night, and that marquee matchup is the backbone of my college basketball parlay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: I&#8217;m happy to bank some points with Saint Mary&#8217;s after how it handled business against Gonzaga during the regular season. I also like an alt under in the UCF Knights vs. Utah Utes matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my NCAA basketball predictions for March 11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NCAA basketball predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/ncaab\">Full college basketball betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Saint Mary&#8217;s +4.5 | Lamar +4.5 | UCF\/Utah u160.5 points (+325)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:111159\">Embed: #111159<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Saint Mary&#8217;s +4.5 (-130):<\/strong> Saint Mary&#8217;s should be feeling the disrespect. Despite beating Gonzaga at home and on the road this year, the Gaels are underdogs in the neutral-site WCC tournament final.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both teams will be in the March Madness field, so Tuesday&#8217;s stakes are purely for seeding. And on the Gaels&#8217; side, it&#8217;s an opportunity to once again prove the haters wrong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Saint Mary&#8217;s is 4-1 against Gonzaga in their past five meetings, winning each of those games outright as an underdog. That includes last year&#8217;s conference tournament final in Las Vegas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Keep in mind that I&#8217;m not even asking for an &#8220;upset&#8221; win. I&#8217;m just looking for the Gaels to cover +4.5, which they have in 31 of 32 games this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other parlay predictions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Lamar +4.5 (-200):<\/strong> Last Monday, the Lamar Cardinals and Nicholls State Colonels closed out the regular season with an ugly game that finished 65-53 in Lamar&#8217;s favour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These teams both rank in the bottom 75 in NCAA Division I in effective field goal percentage, and I could see another rock fight tonight in the Southland Conference semifinal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regardless of the point total, though, Lamar should be able to hang around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lamar is 4-0 vs. Nicholls since the start of last season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lamar is 9-0 ATS vs. Nicholls since February 2020.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Cardinals are 9-6-1 ATS this year and have covered a +4.5 spread in 12 of their past 13 games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Nicholls has failed to cover a -4.5 spread in five of its past eight games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>UCF\/Utah under 160.5 points<\/strong><\/strong> (-167):<\/strong> Both teams play fast, ranking in the top 85 in offensive possession length, per KenPom.com. That should lead to a lot of points, right?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A high volume of possessions is great, but it won&#8217;t lead to a huge score if both sides struggle to actually put the ball in the hoop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>UCF ranks outside the top 200 in eFG%, 2PT% and 3PT%. The Knights average 78.6 points per game.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Utah ranks 248th in turnover rate and has the country&#8217;s eighth-lowest FT%. The Utes average 75.4 PPG.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In their lone matchup this season, UCF and Utah combined for 148 points in a narrow victory for the Knights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unders are 5-3 in UCF&#8217;s past eight games, and six of those eight games went under this total.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 1:25 p.m. ET 03\/11\/2025<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Gonzaga Bulldogs meet the No. 19 Saint Mary&#8217;s Gaels in the West Coast Conference tournament final on Tuesday night, and that marquee matchup is the backbone of my college basketball parlay. The pregame narrative: I&#8217;m happy to bank some points with Saint Mary&#8217;s after how it handled business against Gonzaga during the regular season. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":333474,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[75],"tags":[21],"class_list":["post-333445","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-basketball","tag-college-basketball-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NCAA basketball predictions: March 11 parlay | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our NCAA basketball predictions March 11. 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