{"id":333409,"date":"2025-03-11T11:23:29","date_gmt":"2025-03-11T15:23:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=333409"},"modified":"2025-03-11T11:23:30","modified_gmt":"2025-03-11T15:23:30","slug":"clippers-vs-pelicans-sgp-predictions-march-11-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/clippers-vs-pelicans-sgp-predictions-march-11-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Clippers vs. Pelicans SGP predictions March 11: Fade Trey Murphy but back New Orleans to cover"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Despite some awful results in recent road matchups, the Los Angeles Clippers are hefty favourites tonight against the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> I like New Orleans to cover an outsized spread as home underdogs \u2014 even though I&#8217;m fading <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/trey_murphy_iii\">Trey Murphy<\/a> from deep. To round out this +285 parlay, bet on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/ivica_zubac\">Ivica Zubac<\/a> to have a busy night as a rebounder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Clippers vs. Pelicans SGP predictions for March 11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Clippers vs. Pelicans predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba\">Full NBA betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report\">NBA injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players\">NBA player stats<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"insights\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/standings\">NBA standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Pelicans +10.5 | Zubac 12+ rebounds | Murphy under 3.5 threes (+285)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:111150\">Embed: #111150<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pelicans +10.5 (-225):<\/strong> New Orleans has the NBA&#8217;s third-worst ATS record this season (26-38-1), but I&#8217;d still rather be on this side of the spread tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s because the Clippers have been an utter ATS nightmare when trying to cover on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>L.A. is on a 10-game ATS losing streak as a road team.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Clippers are just 12-20 ATS on the road this season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Clippers are 5-27 against a -10.5 road spread.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>These teams met in New Orleans back on Dec. 30, and the Clippers scraped by with a three-point win as 4.5-point favourites. I just can&#8217;t back L.A. on a spread this sizable. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NBA SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Zubac 12+ rebounds (-240):<\/strong> In the aforementioned December matchup, Zubac feasted on the glass. He had 16 of the Clippers&#8217; 40 rebounds, and was six boards clear of anyone on the Pelicans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New Orleans allows the most rebounds per game to opposing centres (17.49), per Betting Pros, making this a cream-of-the-crop matchup for Zubac.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Pelicans also allow the second-most rebounds overall (46.6\/game) and own the third-lowest rebounding rate (48.1%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given that Zubac averages 12.5 rebounds, this milestone should be well within range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Murphy under 3.5 threes (-175):<\/strong> Murphy is putting up plenty of 3s these days, but his efficiency has been dreadful. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out Murphy&#8217;s 3-point numbers over his past 15 games:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>30.8 3PT%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2.5 makes<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>8.0 attempts<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Under 3.5 threes in 12 of 15<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This has been the worst of Murphy&#8217;s four seasons in terms of 3-point percentage (36.1%), and I don&#8217;t expect him to over-index against the Clippers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L.A. allows the ninth-lowest 3PT% (35.1) and the 12th-fewest total 3s per game (13.2).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Clippers vs. Pelicans predictions made at 11:00 a.m. ET on 03\/11\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite some awful results in recent road matchups, the Los Angeles Clippers are hefty favourites tonight against the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center. The pregame narrative: I like New Orleans to cover an outsized spread as home underdogs \u2014 even though I&#8217;m fading Trey Murphy from deep. To round out this +285 parlay, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":333432,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-333409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Clippers vs. Pelicans predictions: March 11 NBA SGP picks | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our Clippers vs. Pelicans SGP predictions for March 11. 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