{"id":332342,"date":"2025-03-07T13:08:22","date_gmt":"2025-03-07T18:08:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=332342"},"modified":"2025-03-07T13:08:23","modified_gmt":"2025-03-07T18:08:23","slug":"nba-prop-bets-march-7-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nba-prop-bets-march-7-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NBA prop bets March 7: Back De&#8217;Aaron Fox against former Kings, plus Kawhi Leonard and Jaden McDaniels"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/de_aaron_fox\">De&#8217;Aaron Fox<\/a> makes his return to Sacramento and I&#8217;m backing the star point guard to do damage against his former team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: The over on Fox&#8217;s point total is my favourite prop pick of the night. I also have plays on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/kawhi_leonard\">Kawhi Leonard<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/jaden_mcdaniels\">Jaden McDaniels<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out the best NBA prop bets for March 7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NBA prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba\">Full NBA betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report\">NBA injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players\">NBA player stats<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/standings\">NBA standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Fox over 22.5 points (-117)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:110965\">Embed: #110965<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fox has been quiet with the San Antonio Spurs and has failed to top 20 points in any of his last six games.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s been broke from beyond&nbsp;the arc and his lack of volume from the field has curbed his scoring upside.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>With Kings<\/strong>: 19.6 FGA\/game; 32.2 3P%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>With Spurs<\/strong>: 16.4 FGA\/game; 26.4 3P%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>But we know what he&#8217;s capable of. The 27-year-old guard averaged 25.0 PPG before the trade after hitting that number in two consecutive seasons.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fox is a gifted scorer who can contribute from&nbsp;the perimeter and often had point lines set well above this number.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s only a matter of time before he starts reeling off 25-plus point games again, and I&#8217;m leaning into the revenge angle here.&nbsp;He&#8217;s the No. 1 scoring option on the Spurs and he&#8217;ll be hungry tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This isn&#8217;t a narrative play, though. Fox can hurt teams in multiple ways.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s among the top guards once he gets into the paint, scoring the fifth-most points per game in that area (per NBA.com).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fox can get going from deep, too, even if he hasn&#8217;t shown that lately. And his former club is an ideal team\u00a0to light up from the perimeter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Sacramento is tied for last in the NBA in opponent 3-point percentage and only two teams allow more triples per game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best NBA picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Leonard over 22.5 points (-105)<\/strong>: Leonard is coming on strong and there are several reasons to like him tonight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Norman Powell, the Los Angeles Clippers&#8217; leading scorer, is once again out.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Leonard is well rested, having not played since Tuesday after sitting out the second leg of a back-to-back. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>That was Wednesday, where James Harden had to do the heavy lifting without Powell and Leonard, logging 38 minutes for the second consecutive night and dropping 50 points.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The New York Knicks are coming off a difficult overtime loss on Thursday and will be shorthanded on the B2B. Jalen Brunson will surely be out after spraining his ankle. OG Anunoby was questionable last night before suiting up, but his status is uncertain tonight, too.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Leonard is also doing his thing. He&#8217;s logged 30-plus minutes in each of his last eight contests (averaging 34.8\/game). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over that stretch, he&#8217;s averaging 21.4 points and shooting 41.3% from deep. He has scored 25-plus points three times in his last six games and landed on 21 in another two.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New York is tied with the Kings for the worst opponent 3-point percentage in the NBA and the club is 24th in defensive rating over the last month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>McDaniels over 18.5 points\/rebounds (-121)<\/strong>: The Minnesota Timberwolves injury report only lists Rudy Gobert as questionable tonight vs. the Miami Heat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They are finally close to getting back to a fully healthy roster, which means McDaniels&#8217; scorching run since the start of February is bound to slow. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But this line is quite light for a player who has done this since Feb. 1:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>18.7 PPG<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>37.0 MPG<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>50.4 FG%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>8.1 RPG<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>McDaniels has matched this number on points alone and reached double-digit rebounds six times over that 16-game stretch. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If Gobert sits, this play will be the steal of the night. But I like it regardless \u2014 McDaniels has cleared this line in nine straight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>Picks made at 11:52 a.m. ET on 03\/07\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>De&#8217;Aaron Fox makes his return to Sacramento and I&#8217;m backing the star point guard to do damage against his former team. The pregame narrative: The over on Fox&#8217;s point total is my favourite prop pick of the night. I also have plays on Kawhi Leonard and Jaden McDaniels. Check out the best NBA prop bets [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":332362,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[83,12,208],"class_list":["post-332342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba","tag-nba-betting","tag-nba-props"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NBA prop bets March 7: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best NBA prop bets for March 7, 2025. 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