{"id":329624,"date":"2025-02-20T10:03:58","date_gmt":"2025-02-20T15:03:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=329624"},"modified":"2025-02-20T10:04:02","modified_gmt":"2025-02-20T15:04:02","slug":"nba-prop-bets-february-20-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nba-prop-bets-february-20-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NBA prop bets Feb. 20: Back James Harden and Jamal Murray to clear modest point totals"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I&#8217;ve got four NBA prop bets for Thursday&#8217;s NBA slate. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/james_harden\">James Harden<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/jamal_murray\">Jamal Murray<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/paolo_banchero\">Paolo Banchero<\/a> all draw favourable matchups and I expect them to score. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/players\/ayo_dosunmu\">Ayo Dosunmu<\/a> also has solid value to can a pair of 3s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out how I&#8217;m betting on them in the best NBA prop bets for Feb. 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">Best NBA prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba\">Full NBA betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-injury-report\">NBA injury report<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/top-players\">NBA player stats<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nba\/standings\">NBA standings<\/a><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Harden over 20.5 points (-120)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:109847\">Embed: #109847<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harden isn&#8217;t shooting the lights out but he <em>is<\/em> shooting with volume, which I love to see.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The veteran guard is averaging 21.5 points on 39.5% shooting while taking 15.9 shots a game. That&#8217;s led to him clearing this line frequently, even if it hasn&#8217;t been efficient. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Harden is averaging 22.6 points in his last 10 games.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>He&#8217;s 7-3 against this line in that span while playing 37.3 minutes a night.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Harden exploded for 40 points the last time he played the Milwaukee Bucks, tonight&#8217;s opponent, on Jan. 25. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kawhi Leonard and Norman Powell both played, so it&#8217;s not like he was unnaturally thrust into a primary scoring position.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Milwaukee has been horrible at defending point guards since acquiring Damian Lillard and I expect Harden to exploit that weakness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: The Bucks allow the most PPG (26.9) to opposing point guards, according to Fantasy Pros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Murray over 21.5 points (-115)<\/strong>: The biggest risk betting on Thursday&#8217;s Charlotte Hornets vs. Denver Nuggets matchup is blowout potential. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Charlotte is a 16-point underdog after beating the Los Angeles Lakers last night. But the Hornets have been pesky lately and I expect them to keep things somewhat close. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They own a 6-3-0 ATS record on no rest this season and played the Nuggets tight on Feb. 1., narrowly losing 107-104. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Murray scored 20 in that game on 8-of-16 shooting, part of a solid 10-game stretch he rode into the all-star break capped by a career-high 55 points against the Portland Trail Blazers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Denver&#8217;s PG is averaging 25.9 PPG across his last 10 games on 53.1% shooting.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>He scored 20+ points 7 times and 23+ points 5 times.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Charlotte owns the third-worst mid-range defence in the NBA and Murray takes 46% of his shots from that area of the court (ranking in the 84th percentile of all players), per Cleaning the Glass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Back a pair of young guns<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Banchero over 24.5 points (-103)<\/strong>: I backed Banchero to clear this point total as part of a +295 parlay which you can read about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nba-parlay-picks-february-20-2025\">here<\/a>. But let me give you some CliffsNotes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Hawks allow the fourth-most points per game to power forwards.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Banchero scored 24 and 31 points in his last two games (20+ FGA in both).<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>He&#8217;s cleared this mark in three straight games against Atlanta, scoring 30-plus points twice.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Orlando&#8217;s superstar has been slumping since returning from an injury but this is a good spot for him to snap out of it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Dosunmu over 1.5 threes (-103):<\/strong> The Chicago Bulls are finally rebuilding. Zach LaVine is out of the door and his volume \u2014 specifically his 7.3 three-point attempts \u2014 will have to be replaced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think Dosunmu is the man for the job.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fourth-year guard has hit at least one 3 in 12 of his last 13 games, clearing this mark seven times. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tonight, he takes on a New York Knicks team with the worst 3-point defence (37.8%) in the NBA. Dosunmu hit two 3s against them earlier this year with LaVine in the lineup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>Picks made at 8:59 a.m. ET on 02\/20\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve got four NBA prop bets for Thursday&#8217;s NBA slate. The pregame narrative: James Harden, Jamal Murray and Paolo Banchero all draw favourable matchups and I expect them to score. Ayo Dosunmu also has solid value to can a pair of 3s. Check out how I&#8217;m betting on them in the best NBA prop bets [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":329640,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[83],"class_list":["post-329624","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NBA prop bets Feb. 20: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best NBA prop bets for Feb. 20, 2025. 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