{"id":329002,"date":"2025-02-17T11:01:53","date_gmt":"2025-02-17T16:01:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=329002"},"modified":"2025-02-17T11:01:53","modified_gmt":"2025-02-17T16:01:53","slug":"duke-vs-virginia-ncaa-basketball-picks-february-17-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/duke-vs-virginia-ncaa-basketball-picks-february-17-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Duke vs. Virginia college basketball picks: Bet on Cooper Flagg, Isaac McKneely to fill the net"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Cooper Flagg and the No. 3 Duke Blue Devils hit the road on Monday to face the Virginia Cavaliers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> In what should be a lopsided ACC matchup, I like the over to cash in Charlottesville. I&#8217;ve also made prop bet predictions on Flagg and UVA&#8217;s Isaac McKneely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Duke vs. Virginia picks for the men&#8217;s college basketball matchup on Feb. 17.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Duke vs. Virginia picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/ncaab\">college basketball betting markets<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Over 132.5 points (-117)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:109665\">Embed: #109665<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Betting the over in a Virginia game? It doesn&#8217;t feel right, but it&#8217;s where I&#8217;m landing with my best bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For years, the Tony Bennett-led Cavaliers played at a methodical, molasses-like pace and generated some of the lowest scores in NCAA Division I. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bennett is now retired, but his successor, Ron Sanchez, has taken up the same mantle. Virginia plays at the third-slowest adjusted tempo in D-I, per KenPom.com.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unsurprisingly, this is the lowest projected total in a Duke game this year. And I think there are some compelling reasons to side with the over:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Five ACC schools, including Virginia, are among the 60 slowest in adjusted tempo. Duke has already faced the other four and hit the over each time.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Blue Devils have gone over 132.5 points in 19\/25 games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Cavaliers have gone over 132.5 points in 8\/11 games since Jan. 8.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>One key driver for offence will be Virginia&#8217;s ability to hit 3s. Duke has the No. 1 defence against 2-point shots (42.4 FG% allowed), so the interior will likely be a no-fly zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Cavaliers are on fire beyond the arc right now, shooting 41.9% from deep in their past eight games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Overs are 4-0 in Virginia&#8217;s past four home games. The average total in those games was 137.0 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Flagg 30+ points\/rebounds\/assists (-132):<\/strong> This line is lower than usual for Flagg, which makes sense because of the risk that Virginia turns the game into a slog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I like the over on the game total, and I expect Flagg to play a major role.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Naismith College Player of the Year frontrunner averages 19.8 points, 7.5 rebounds and 4.0 assists (31.3 PRA). He&#8217;s cashed this bet in 10 of his past 13 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Flagg is a three-level scorer with a nose for the free-throw line. But I also expect some solid work on the glass.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Virginia ranks 338th in offensive rebounding rate (23.9%), which should mean plenty of chances for Flagg when the Cavs come up short on shot attempts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>McKneely 3+ threes (+110):<\/strong> I really like this price for the top 3-point shooter in the ACC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>McKneely paces the conference with a 41.7% shooting clip beyond the arc. He&#8217;s averaging 3.1 makes on 7.5 attempts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oh, and he happens to be on fire from deep right now. Look at his past seven games:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>43.5 3PT%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>9.9 attempted threes<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3+ threes in 5\/7 games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 10:35 a.m. ET on 02\/17\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cooper Flagg and the No. 3 Duke Blue Devils hit the road on Monday to face the Virginia Cavaliers. The pregame narrative: In what should be a lopsided ACC matchup, I like the over to cash in Charlottesville. I&#8217;ve also made prop bet predictions on Flagg and UVA&#8217;s Isaac McKneely. Check out my Duke vs. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":329088,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[75],"tags":[21],"class_list":["post-329002","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-basketball","tag-college-basketball-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Duke vs. Virginia picks: NCAA basketball | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Duke vs. Virginia picks for their men&#039;s college basketball game. 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