{"id":326774,"date":"2025-02-07T15:38:26","date_gmt":"2025-02-07T20:38:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=326774"},"modified":"2025-02-07T15:38:27","modified_gmt":"2025-02-07T20:38:27","slug":"long-shot-super-bowl-59-sgp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/long-shot-super-bowl-59-sgp\/","title":{"rendered":"How Patrick Mahomes factors into this +1,000 long shot Super Bowl SGP"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I&#8217;m cooking up a&nbsp;+1,000 Super Bowl SGP for the final game of the NFL season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Star quarterbacks <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/patrick_mahomes\">Patrick Mahomes<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/jalen_hurts\">Jalen Hurts<\/a> are featured in this five-leg play. A side and total pick also factor into this same-game parlay recommendation.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s my suggestion on how to turn $10 into $100 in this long shot Super Bowl SGP for Chiefs vs. Eagles.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Long shot Super Bowl SGP<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/event\/1022628365\"><strong>Full Super Bowl Markets<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report\"><strong>Super Bowl 59 Injury Report<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/teams\/kc_kansas_city_chiefs_afc_west\/stats\"><strong>Kansas City Chiefs Team Stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/teams\/phi_philadelphia_eagles_nfc_east\/stats\"><strong>Philadelphia Eagles Team Stats<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>SGP: Under 51.5 points | Hurts anytime TD | Hurts 30+ rushing yards | Mahomes 20+ rushing yards | Eagles ML (+1,000)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:108933\">Embed: #108933<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Under 51.5 points (-167)<\/strong>: Both teams cleared this big number in their conference championship victories. And with so much star power, it&#8217;s not hard to talk yourself into a shootout. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But clearing&nbsp;this total has been rare for both teams.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>16\/19 Chiefs games went under 51.5<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>16\/20 Eagles games went under 51.5&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Philadelphia allowed an NFL-low 17.9 points per game this season. Kansas City was fourth at 19.4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Every matchup is different, but the O\/U record on this number is 6-14 over the last 20 Super Bowls. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Count on the quarterbacks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hurts anytime TD (-134)<\/strong>: Hurts rushed for three TDs last game and one the game before that.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He found the end zone in 12 of 18 contests this season.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hurts will call his own number and get a crack at scoring if the Eagles are in short-yardage situations by the goal line.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Propelling Hurts forward might not be the most aesthetically&nbsp;pleasing football play but it&#8217;s effective. And the Eagles do it often.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opportunity is important here and Hurts will have his chances in the red zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hurts 30+ rushing yards (-230)<\/strong>: Sticking with Hurts, he only managed to turn double-digit carries into 16 yards against the Washington Commanders in the NFC championship game.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But he reached this mark in two playoff games before that and three straight regular season games to close the year. In all, Hurts is 13-5 against this number this season.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s known for his one-yard TD scores, but Hurts was third in the NFL among quarterbacks in rushing yards per attempt.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kansas City has had a strong season against the run. Slowing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/player-stats\/saquon_barkley\">Saquon Barkley<\/a> at any point could open up the door more for Hurts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"682\" src=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/02\/jalenhurts_feb72025-1024x682.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-326808\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/02\/jalenhurts_feb72025-1024x682.webp 1024w, https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/02\/jalenhurts_feb72025-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/02\/jalenhurts_feb72025-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/02\/jalenhurts_feb72025-620x413.webp 620w, https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/02\/jalenhurts_feb72025.webp 1220w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mahomes 20+ rushing yards (-230)<\/strong>: Mahomes had more than five rushing attempts in three of 16 regular season games.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s had six-plus carries&nbsp;in five consecutive&nbsp;playoff games, including a career-high 11 in Kansas City&#8217;s AFC championship victory over the Buffalo Bills.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No one should expect 43 yards and two scores again. But Mahomes can scramble when needed and the Chiefs&#8217; running back situation isn&#8217;t exactly oozing with confidence.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mahomes has averaged 29 rushing yards per game over 20 career playoff contests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Eagles ML (+104)<\/strong>: I&#8217;ve written about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/super-bowl-59-ats-picks-predictions-chiefs-vs-eagles\">liking the Eagles to win<\/a> and backing them as a favourite on an alternate spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The addition of Eagles on the moneyline has the longest odds of any leg in this parlay, driving the SGP from\u00a0+600 to\u00a0+1,000.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s a significant jump in payout potential for a pick I&#8217;m bullish on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Eagles are 15-1 since their Week 5 bye, Barkley has been as good as any offensive player and they&#8217;ve been the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/hurts-and-barkley-super-bowl-sgp-picks-chiefs-vs-eagles\">better team in several key areas<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m cooking up a&nbsp;+1,000 Super Bowl SGP for the final game of the NFL season. The pregame narrative: Star quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts are featured in this five-leg play. A side and total pick also factor into this same-game parlay recommendation.&nbsp; Here&#8217;s my suggestion on how to turn $10 into $100 in this [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":326807,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181,14],"class_list":["post-326774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Long shot Super Bowl SGP featuring Hurts and Mahomes | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check this long shot Super Bowl SGP for Chiefs vs. Eagles. 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