{"id":324997,"date":"2025-01-30T16:36:28","date_gmt":"2025-01-30T21:36:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=324997"},"modified":"2025-02-09T16:45:35","modified_gmt":"2025-02-09T21:45:35","slug":"super-bowl-59-best-bets-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/super-bowl-59-best-bets-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"The 4 best Super Bowl bets to make: Back Patrick Mahomes two different ways"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Super Bowl is quickly approaching and I&#8217;m sharing my best bets for the Big Game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Patrick Mahomes will be the centre of attention as he looks to complete the three-peat. Two prop picks on the Chiefs&#8217; quarterback headline my four favourite Super Bowl 59 bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Super Bowl best bets below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Super Bowl best bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/american_football\/events\/9354345\">Full Super Bowl Markets<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/article\/nfl-injury-report-news\">Super Bowl 59 Injury Report<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/teams\/kc_kansas_city_chiefs_afc_west\/stats\">Kansas City Chiefs Team Stats<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/news\/stats\/nfl\/teams\/phi_philadelphia_eagles_nfc_east\/stats\">Philadelphia Eagles Team Stats<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Mahomes under 250.5 passing yards (-120)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Betting against Mahomes in the Super Bowl feels like treason but the quarterback can still be productive while finishing below this mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The reigning SB MVP has fallen short of this yardage total in both playoff games and in four of the past six contests dating back to Dec. 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Philly provides the toughest matchup in the NFL, allowing the fewest passing yards per game (174.2). The side has held 15-of-20 starting QBs to less than 251 passing yards this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if the Chiefs win, my prediction would be that it&#8217;s off the back of the defence that has carried them all year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> At Super Bowl 57, Mahomes threw for 182 yards in the Chiefs&#8217; 38-35 victory over the Eagles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick Picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Mahomes anytime TD scorer (+300):<\/strong> To continue with Mahomes, I&#8217;m backing him to score a TD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When the playoffs roll around, the QB is more inclined to use his legs. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Mahomes set season-highs in back-to-back weeks, rushing seven times against the Texans before exploding for 11 rushes and two rushing TDs against the Bills in the conference championship.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The star QB has seven rushing TDs in 20 career playoff games compared to 14 in 112 regular season games.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, the Eagles&#8217; first-ranked pass defence may force Mahomes out of the pocket more than he&#8217;s used to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Under 49 points (-110):<\/strong> This is the most boring of my bets but some quality data is backing the under.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Each team has an elite defence: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>KC ranks 4th in scoring (19.2) and allowed the 8th-fewest yards per game (335.4).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Philly ranks 2nd in scoring (17.8) and allowed the fewest yards per game (296.3).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Even though this game is loaded with offensive talent, it has been the defence that has shined all year for the two Super Bowl finalists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Including the playoffs, the Chiefs and Eagles combine to have an over\/under record of 17-22, per Team Rankings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Back the run game<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pacheco over 22.5 rushing yards (-120):<\/strong> I know Isaiah Pacheco has lost a lot of his work to Kareem Hunt but this is a very modest total for a player who should still be involved.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pacheco had five carries in both the divisional game and the NFC championship but that&#8217;d still be enough to surpass this total with one big gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The running back&#8217;s been banged up this season, missing nine weeks with a leg injury before grabbing a rib injury late in the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the ribs haven&#8217;t forced Pacheco to miss any time, it explains the fall off in production over the previous weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before recording 18 yards on Christmas Day against the Pittsburgh Steelers, Pacheco rushed for 23-plus yards in six straight games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the extra week of rest, I suspect Pacheco will receive much closer to his normal workload on Feb. 9.  He averages 4.5 yards per carry for his career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NFL picks made at 3:12 p.m. on 01\/30\/25.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Super Bowl is quickly approaching and I&#8217;m sharing my best bets for the Big Game. The pregame narrative: Patrick Mahomes will be the centre of attention as he looks to complete the three-peat. Two prop picks on the Chiefs&#8217; quarterback headline my four favourite Super Bowl 59 bets. Check out my Super Bowl best [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":324934,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-324997","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Super Bowl best bets: Four picks for Chiefs vs. Eagles | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Super Bowl 59 best bets. 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