Thunder -10 <\/strong>(-225):<\/strong> Portland has been frisky in recent games, winning four in a row as an underdog. But I don’t expect that to carry over against an elite squad like OKC.<\/p>\n\n\n\nThe Thunder have one of the league’s best ATS records (27-15-3), which includes an 11-6-2 ATS mark as road favourites.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Playing at home really hasn’t been an advantage for the Blazers, who are 9-12 at Moda Center. They have a -8.4 net rating at home, which ranks 28th in the NBA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
When these teams matched up in Portland in November, OKC came away with a 23-point win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Blazers have lost five of their past six home games by 18 or more points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Other SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Williams over 19.5 points (-180):<\/strong> MVP frontrunner Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the main attraction for OKC, but Williams is a consistent contributor in the sidekick role.<\/p>\n\n\n\nKnown to some as J-Dub, Williams is averaging 21.0 PPG in his third pro season. In his past eight games, he’s cashed this bet four times while landing on exactly 19 points three times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
What I’m heartened by is Williams’ production against the Trail Blazers this season:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\n- Nov. 1: 22 points on 8-of-12 shooting (4-of-6 3PT)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
\n- Nov. 20: 30 points on 11-of-19 shooting (5-of-9 3PT)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Williams has scored 20-plus points in five of his past six games against the Blazers, averaging 24.3 PPG in those matchups.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Clingan over 7.5 rebounds (-210): <\/strong>When everyone’s healthy, the Trail Blazers have a logjam of centres. But with DeAndre Ayton (knee) ruled out for tonight, there’s a pathway for Clingan and Robert Williams to both see solid minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n- Clingan has 10+ rebounds in four straight games.
<\/li>\n\n\n\n - He’s averaging 11.1 rebounds in eight games with 20+ minutes played.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
As long as Clingan hovers around 20-ish minutes tonight, I really like his chances of soaring past this total. But he’s been efficient enough in previous matchups against OKC that he may not need a big workload after all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Through two matchups against the Thunder, Clingan has 16 total rebounds in 34 minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
OKC has the lowest rebounding rate in the NBA (46.8%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Picks made at 1:00 p.m. on 01\/26\/25.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"In Sunday’s lone NBA game, the Portland Trail Blazers host the Oklahoma City Thunder at Moda Center. The pregame narrative: Despite the fact the Blazers have strung together a few respectable outings, I’m looking to back the Thunder on an alt spread. My +275 SGP also features prop bets for Jalen Williams and Donovan Clingan. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":323955,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-323927","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n
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