{"id":323274,"date":"2025-01-23T14:32:03","date_gmt":"2025-01-23T19:32:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=323274"},"modified":"2025-01-23T14:32:04","modified_gmt":"2025-01-23T19:32:04","slug":"bills-vs-chiefs-predictions-afc-championship","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/bills-vs-chiefs-predictions-afc-championship\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills vs. Chiefs AFC championship same-game parlay predictions: Back Buffalo on alt spread, Josh Allen at +400"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Another chapter in the Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs rivalry will be written on Sunday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Patrick Mahomes has sent Buffalo packing three times in the playoffs but I say the Bills keep this close with Josh Allen scoring a touchdown. Prop bets on each team&#8217;s tight end \u2014 Travis Kelce and Dalton Kincaid \u2014 round out this wager.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Check out my Bills vs. Chiefs same-game parlay predictions for the AFC championship game on Jan. 26.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bills vs. Chiefs same-game parlay predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Go to full<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\"><strong>&nbsp;NFL betting markets<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"cacheembed:107277\">Embed: #107277<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Parlay: Bills +7.5 + Allen anytime TD + Kelce over 49.5 receiving yards + Kincaid over 29.5 receiving yards (+400)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Bills +7.5 (-315):<\/strong> Buffalo&#8217;s last two playoff defeats to Kansas City were heartbreaking. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Last year, Tyler Bass missed a game-tying 44-yard field goal late in the fourth quarter. And in 2022, the Bills were 13 seconds away from punching their ticket to the AFC championship game &#8230; we all know what happened after that. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But Buffalo kept each game close and I expect another instant classic on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Bills beat the Chiefs earlier this season, albeit in Buffalo, and have covered a +7.5 spread in all but one of their games (Week 4 vs. Baltimore).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">KC needed a fair amount of luck to cobble together its 15-2 record, winning just five of those games by more than a score. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I won&#8217;t bet against Mahomes winning at Arrowhead but I also won&#8217;t bet on Allen getting blown out in the biggest game of his career. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other parlay picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Allen anytime TD (-124):<\/strong> Speaking of Allen, let&#8217;s take a look at how dominant he&#8217;s been through 12 career playoff games:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>23 passing TDs, 4 INTs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>7 rushing TDs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>101.5 passer rating<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Any chances the Bills have of exorcising their playoff demons will start and end with No. 17.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Allen has been a battering ram at the goal line all season. Last week, he rushed for two touchdowns in a 27-25 win over the Baltimore Ravens. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And in the regular season, he turned 18 carries within the 10-yard line into 10 touchdowns. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Allen found the end zone in six of his last eight regular-season games, including against the Chiefs in Week 11. These are great odds for a proven red-zone threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong><strong><strong>Kelce over 49.5 receiving yards<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong> (-295):<\/strong>\u00a0Kelce was basically a non-factor during the regular season but came out of hibernation when it mattered most. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The future Hall of Famer logged seven catches for 117 yards in the divisional round, adding to his illustrious playoff resume. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Kelce has logged 2,020 receiving yards over 23 playoff games (87.8 average). <br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>He&#8217;s put up 70+ yards in 14 straight playoff games, with 90+ yards in 10 of those contests.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Defences have been trying to gameplan Kelce for half a decade with little success. I would be shocked if he failed to crack 50 yards against a banged-up Bills secondary. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong>Kincaid over 29.5 receiving yards<\/strong> (-148):<\/strong> Kincaid hasn&#8217;t lived up to the billing as a first-round pick but can flip the narrative with one big game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The thing is, we don&#8217;t even need a &#8220;big game&#8221; out of the 25-year-old for this to cash. Buffalo&#8217;s tight end has cleared this number in 10 of 15 games (regular season and playoffs) and draws a nice matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kansas City allowed the most receiving yards per game to tight ends this season (69.78), per CBS Sports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kincaid missed the regular-season matchup against the Chiefs but had 45 yards against them in the playoffs last season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picks made at 1:42 p.m. ET on 01\/17\/2025.<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/news\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Another chapter in the Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs rivalry will be written on Sunday night. The pregame narrative: Patrick Mahomes has sent Buffalo packing three times in the playoffs but I say the Bills keep this close with Josh Allen scoring a touchdown. Prop bets on each team&#8217;s tight end \u2014 Travis Kelce [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":323325,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[181,14,625],"class_list":["post-323274","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-betting","tag-nfl-predictions"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bills vs. Chiefs predictions: AFC championship SGP | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Bills vs. Chiefs predictions for the AFC championship game. 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