{"id":323111,"date":"2025-01-22T15:15:06","date_gmt":"2025-01-22T20:15:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=323111"},"modified":"2025-01-22T15:15:07","modified_gmt":"2025-01-22T20:15:07","slug":"epl-matchday-23-picks-and-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/epl-matchday-23-picks-and-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"EPL Matchday 23 picks and predictions: Back Newcastle to win comfortably at Southampton"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I&#8217;ve got two bets at plus-money odds for this weekend&#8217;s Premier League action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative: <\/strong>Newcastle heads into Southampton off a humbling defeat, and I expect it to bounce back with a convincing victory. In addition, take the under in the contest between Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out the best EPL Matchday 23 picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">EPL Matchday 23 picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/soccer\/competitions\/10104\">Premier League betting markets<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet:<\/strong> <strong>Newcastle -1.5 (+105)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Newcastle was humbled in front of its home supporters last weekend, suffering a 4-1 defeat to surging Bournemouth and seeing its winning streak end at six games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before that, the Magpies were the hottest club in the league, smashing the likes of Aston Villa, Manchester United and Arsenal in recent matches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The dangerous attacking duo of Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon is performing at peak levels, having combined for 11 goals over their last six games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eddie Howe&#8217;s side will need to regroup themselves for a shot at Champions League qualification, and it gets a perfect opportunity here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Southampton (1-3-18) is sitting at the bottom of the table, with six points across 22 matches, and is destined for relegation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Saints didn&#8217;t reap the same benefits of a new manager bump as other Premier League clubs. They have a 0-1-5 record and a -10 goal differential since appointing Ivan Juric on Dec. 21. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Isak and Co. should wreak havoc against a struggling Southampton defence, ranked dead-last in various defensive metrics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>20th in expected goals allowed (2.39 per 90)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>20th in shots on goal allowed (6.8 per 90)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>20th in big-scoring chances conceded (4.5 per 90)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>20th in final-third entry conversion rate (4.6%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a nightmare spot for the Saints, coming off two gruelling defeats and facing a fuming Newcastle side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Magpies won the reverse fixture 1-0 while playing a man down for over an hour. I can easily see a 3-0 or 3-1 win for Newcastle on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Newcastle has won five of its last six matches by 2+ goals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bournemouth\/Nottingham Forest under 2.5 <\/strong><strong style=\"font-weight: bold;\">(+100<strong>)<\/strong><\/strong><b>: <\/b>Two of the biggest surprises from the Premiership clash in what should be a fascinating, yet low-scoring, contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bournemouth pummeled a red-hot Newcastle side to a 4-1 victory last weekend. But much of the damage stemmed from its high-pressing defence, which forced Newcastle to commit an array of errors that led to scoring chances.<br><br>Nottingham Forest are an intelligent team that can absorb pressure in build-up play and take care of the ball. It has conceded the second-fewest errors that led to shots (nine), per The Analyst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Aggressive attacking squads like Liverpool, Tottenham and Chelsea have combined for just two goals against it thus far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Tricky Trees often create their scoring chances from quick transitions. However, Bournemouth has limited opponents to just 12 fast-break shots, the second-fewest in the league. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given the reverse fixture ended in a 1-1 draw, backing the under at plus-money odds is a value play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 11:25 a.m. on 01\/22\/25.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve got two bets at plus-money odds for this weekend&#8217;s Premier League action. The pregame narrative: Newcastle heads into Southampton off a humbling defeat, and I expect it to bounce back with a convincing victory. In addition, take the under in the contest between Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest. Check out the best EPL Matchday 23 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":323089,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,73],"tags":[229],"class_list":["post-323111","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-football","tag-soccer"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>EPL Matchday 23 picks, predictions and best bets | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our EPL Matchday 23 picks and predictions. 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