{"id":323017,"date":"2025-01-22T09:50:44","date_gmt":"2025-01-22T14:50:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=323017"},"modified":"2025-01-22T13:13:03","modified_gmt":"2025-01-22T18:13:03","slug":"nba-prop-bets-january-22-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nba-prop-bets-january-22-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NBA prop bets Jan. 22: Fade Donovan Mitchell, bet on Walker Kessler to shine"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\">I&#8217;m locking in on the 8 p.m. window for Wednesday&#8217;s NBA prop bets, including a pair of picks from the Cleveland Cavaliers versus Houston Rockets matchup. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: Houston&#8217;s Alperen Sengun has a very attainable assists prop tonight, while Cleveland&#8217;s Donovan Mitchell is worth fading as a scorer. Elsewhere, Walker Kessler should rack up solid rebounding numbers in a plus matchup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out the best NBA prop bets for Jan. 22.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">Best NBA prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba\">NBA betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:107129\">Embed: #107129<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Mitchell under 26.5 points<strong> <\/strong>(-109)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Two seasons ago, when Mitchell first joined the Cavaliers, he shouldered a significant workload on a desperate team that hadn&#8217;t been to the playoffs since LeBron James&#8217; (second) departure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mitchell averaged 28.3 PPG that year, and the Cavaliers won 51 games but flamed out in the first round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fast forward to now, and Mitchell is still Cleveland&#8217;s centrepiece \u2014 but he has a much deeper supporting cast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The first-place Cavs are on a 70-win pace, and Mitchell is averaging 23.3 PPG. That&#8217;s his lowest scoring average since 2017-18, when he was a rookie in Utah.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What does all of this mean? Less is more for Mitchell on a deep Cavs squad, and he&#8217;s not typically asked to fill the net the way he used to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With that in mind, and given the matchup he faces on Wednesday night, I think Mitchell is well worth a fade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Look at how the Rockets rank defensively:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>3rd in defensive rating<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>4th in opponent PPG<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>5th in opponent FG%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston also allows the third-fewest made 3s per game (12.5), and that commitment to defending the perimeter should be a problem for Mitchell, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Mitchell has gone under 26.5 points in 13 of his past 18 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sengun over 4.5 assists (-136)<\/strong>: I don&#8217;t love this price, but I do love how Sengun has established himself as a premier passer for the Rockets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 22-year-old centre is averaging a career-high 5.1 assists per game. He&#8217;s one of just two Houston players above 3.0 APG.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Centres tend not to be consistent facilitators, but that&#8217;s a key to Sengun&#8217;s success. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;s third among all NBA centres in potential assists per game (10.0), a metric that tallies the number of passes that lead directly to a shot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his past 25 games, Sengun has cashed this bet 18 times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Kessler over 10.5 rebounds (-137)<\/strong>: Tonight marks the fourth consecutive game in which Isaiah Hartenstein and Chet Holmgren will both sit out for the Oklahoma City Thunder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That means seven-footer Walker Kessler will have quite a size mismatch around the rim. He&#8217;ll spend most of the night jockeying for position against Jaylin Williams (6-foot-8) and Aaron Wiggins (6-foot-6).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>OKC allows the fourth-most rebounds per game, and Kessler should get his fair share as the biggest player on the court.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over his past 12 games, Kessler has averaged 13.0 rebounds and cashed this bet nine times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>Picks made at 1:05 p.m. ET on 01\/22\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m locking in on the 8 p.m. window for Wednesday&#8217;s NBA prop bets, including a pair of picks from the Cleveland Cavaliers versus Houston Rockets matchup. The pregame narrative: Houston&#8217;s Alperen Sengun has a very attainable assists prop tonight, while Cleveland&#8217;s Donovan Mitchell is worth fading as a scorer. Elsewhere, Walker Kessler should rack up [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":323088,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-323017","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NBA prop bets Jan. 22: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best NBA prop bets for Jan. 22, 2025. 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