{"id":322761,"date":"2025-01-20T14:27:20","date_gmt":"2025-01-20T19:27:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=322761"},"modified":"2025-01-20T14:27:21","modified_gmt":"2025-01-20T19:27:21","slug":"nba-prop-bets-january-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nba-prop-bets-january-20\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NBA prop bets Jan. 20: Fade Murphy, bet on Vucevic to produce"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\">I&#8217;m backing a guard, a forward and a centre for Monday&#8217;s NBA prop bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: In the afternoon, Trae Young&#8217;s plus-money value as a passer has my eye. Later on, I&#8217;m fading Trey Murphy III against the Utah Jazz and backing Nikola Vucevic against the Los Angeles Clippers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out the best NBA prop bets for Jan. 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NBA prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/basketball\/competitions\/10240\">NBA betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Murphy under 3.5 threes<strong> <\/strong>(-125)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unders are often not fun, and I&#8217;d say that sentiment applies here. But it makes sense to fade Murphy even in a matchup against the Jazz that seems exploitable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Murphy has gone under 3.5 threes in 18\/27 games this season (66.7%).<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>He&#8217;s never scored 4+ threes vs. Utah (incl. five games since December 2022).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Murphy averages 8.6 attempted 3s per game, which is the most among New Orleans Pelicans players. But at that volume, you&#8217;d still have to shoot above 45.0% to cash this bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Utah allows the third-most 3s per game, but that&#8217;s also because it allows the most attempts. From an efficiency standpoint, the Jazz hold opponents to the 11th-lowest 3PT% (35.7).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On any given night, Murphy could be the guy to heave 10-plus threes at the bucket. But CJ McCollum and Dejounte Murray are just as capable of being that guy, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In my view, the Pelicans have too many mouths to feed when all three M&#8217;s are healthy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Murphy is a talented shooter, but his volume isn&#8217;t secure enough for me to want the over at this number.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Against Utah on Friday, McCollum and Murray combined for 18 attempted threes while Murphy went 2-for-6 from deep.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Young over 9.5 assists (-150)<\/strong>: I&#8217;ve made some hay recently by betting Young&#8217;s points prop, but I think Monday&#8217;s matchup against the New York Knicks is a good opportunity to pivot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Young leads the NBA in assists this season (11.8\/game) and has cashed this bet in 22 of 38 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Getting over 10.5 assists at plus money looks like a value to me \u2014 especially when you consider Young&#8217;s recent results against the Knicks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his past five games against New York, dating back to February 2023, Young has averaged 12.2 assists and hit this over four times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Vucevic over 13.5 rebounds\/assists (-130)<\/strong>: The Clippers have the No. 2-ranked defensive rating (107.3), which seems like an explanation for why this line is lower than I&#8217;d expect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, I don&#8217;t view strong defence as an inhibitor for a prop market like this (keep in mind that you need missed shots to grab rebounds).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vucevic is rolling right now as a scorer, rebounder and passer. The Bulls should continue giving him big minutes and letting him do his thing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over his past 14 games, Vucevic has averaged 11.8 rebounds and 3.7 assists (15.5 RA), cashing this bet 11 times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Clippers allow the third-most assists per game to opposing centres (4.8), per Betting Pros, which should help. If Vucevic hovers around the 10-rebound mark, the over will be in play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><em>Picks made at 12:10 p.m. ET on 01\/20\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m backing a guard, a forward and a centre for Monday&#8217;s NBA prop bets. The pregame narrative: In the afternoon, Trae Young&#8217;s plus-money value as a passer has my eye. Later on, I&#8217;m fading Trey Murphy III against the Utah Jazz and backing Nikola Vucevic against the Los Angeles Clippers. Check out the best NBA [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":322756,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,62],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-322761","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nba","tag-nba-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NBA prop bets Jan. 20: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best NBA prop bets for Jan. 20, 2025. 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