{"id":322090,"date":"2025-01-17T14:35:12","date_gmt":"2025-01-17T19:35:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=322090"},"modified":"2025-01-17T14:35:13","modified_gmt":"2025-01-17T19:35:13","slug":"commanders-vs-lions-divisional-round-prop-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/commanders-vs-lions-divisional-round-prop-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Commanders vs. Lions divisional prop picks: Expect Jameson Williams to stay involved"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Jameson Williams and Jayden Daniels are my two prop targets for Saturday night&#8217;s playoff matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Detroit Lions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> The price may not jump off the screen for Williams&#8217; receptions prop, but he&#8217;s been such a steady presence for Detroit that I&#8217;m still looking to buy in. As for Daniels, there are a handful of reasons why he has value in the passing game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Commanders vs. Lions prop picks for the divisional round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Commanders vs. Lions prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"insights\"><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.com\/sportsbook\/sports\/american_football\/competitions\/12295\">NFL playoff betting markets<\/a><\/strong><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best bet: Williams over 3.5 receptions (-175)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There&#8217;s a lot of juice on this line, but I still think it&#8217;s playable as a straight wager based on Williams&#8217; hefty involvement in the Lions&#8217; game plan over the latter half of the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Splitting his season in half, look at how Williams&#8217; statistical averages have climbed:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>First 7 games:<\/strong> 5.0 targets, 2.9 catches, 59.1 yards<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Past 8 games:<\/strong> 7.0 targets, 4.8 catches, 73.4 yards<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Due to injuries and suspensions, it took Williams three seasons to blossom into the wideout Detroit needs him to be. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 12th overall pick from the 2022 draft is a certified burner, but the Lions aren&#8217;t always looking to send him on a go route. Sometimes, it makes more sense to give him the ball closer to the line of scrimmage and let him make a play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Williams&#8217; average depth of target is 11.3 yards this year (versus 15.7 last year and 16.7 as a rookie). Remember, this pick is about volume, not one splash play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fortunately for Detroit, Williams can do both. He&#8217;s a superb sidekick for Amon-Ra St. Brown, creating a completely different type of matchup issue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a game with a sky-high projected total (55.5 points), I like Williams to stay firmly involved for the home team. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat: <\/strong>Williams went over 3.5 receptions in seven of his final eight games during the regular season, totalling 38 catches in that span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Daniels over 238.5 passing yards<\/strong> (-118):<\/strong> In the wild-card round, Daniels became just the fourth rookie quarterback in the Super Bowl era to win a road playoff start. And although I&#8217;m not partial to win stats for individual players, Daniels definitely did his part in the victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last year&#8217;s No. 2 overall pick completed 24-of-35 passes for 268 yards and two touchdowns. He also rushed 13 times for 36 yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Daniels will face a more hostile environment in Detroit than he did in Tampa Bay, but at least he&#8217;s gotten some playoff debut jitters (if there even were any) out of the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his past six full games (i.e., excluding his partial performance in Week 18), Daniels has averaged 243.3 passing yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 2:20 p.m. ET on 01\/17\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jameson Williams and Jayden Daniels are my two prop targets for Saturday night&#8217;s playoff matchup between the Washington Commanders and the Detroit Lions. The pregame narrative: The price may not jump off the screen for Williams&#8217; receptions prop, but he&#8217;s been such a steady presence for Detroit that I&#8217;m still looking to buy in. As [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":322073,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[452,61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-322090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-com","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Commanders vs. Lions prop picks: Divisional predictions | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Commanders vs. Lions prop picks for the 2025 divisional round. 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