{"id":321816,"date":"2025-01-16T12:56:03","date_gmt":"2025-01-16T17:56:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=321816"},"modified":"2025-01-16T12:56:04","modified_gmt":"2025-01-16T17:56:04","slug":"australian-open-tennis-championship-picks-third-round-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/australian-open-tennis-championship-picks-third-round-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Australian Open third round picks and predictions: Tennis picks on Ben Shelton, Fritz vs. Monfils"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

I’m featuring two Americans in my picks for the third round of the Australian Open.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Gael Monfils has been on a tear and can go toe-for-toe against Taylor Fritz. Elsewhere, I’m backing Ben Shelton to cover his game spread against Lorenzo Musetti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out my top Australian Open picks for the third round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australian Open picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Visit full Australian Open betting markets<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bet: Taylor Fritz\/Gael Monfils over 3.5 sets (-121)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Both competitors head into this clash in tremendous form. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

So far, Fritz has delivered back-to-back straight sets victories, winning 36 of 44 sets played. However, the No. 4-ranked American didn’t come out unscathed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fritz hyper-extended his knee in his recent match against Cristian Garin, which could be a problem against an experienced pro like Monfils.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 38-year-old Frenchman has found a new gear in 2025. He’s won his last seven matches on the hard court while taking home the ASB Classic title in Auckland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A double fault on match point prevented Monfils from defeating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in straight sets in the opening round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What caught my eye is Monfils’ ability to handle pressure. In the last 52 weeks, he’s ranked 17th in under-pressure rating and 20th in break points converted (40.5%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Coming off an easy straight-set victory, I say Monfils can at least steal a set and make life difficult for Fritz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Key stat:<\/strong> In 2024, Monfils ranked 34th in service games won (82.4%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Shelton -1.5 games (-125):<\/strong> Shelton has thrived on the outdoor hard courts in Melbourne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The young American reached the quarterfinal in his debut in 2023, following that with a third-round appearance last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

His powerful serve \u2014 which had the fourth-highest rating on tour in 2024 \u2014 is one of his standout weapons and has translated well on this playing surface.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The same can’t be said for Musetti, whose style fits better on clay. The No. 15-ranked Italian is just 60-67 (47.2%) on outdoor hard courts, compared to 54-35 on clay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Musetti performed well in his straight-sets victory over Denis Shapovalov (7-6, 7-6, 6-2) but was the beneficiary of 15 double faults.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He’s typically solid on the baseline but is susceptible against opponents with massive groundstrokes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This has the makings of a back-and-forth battle, but I expect Shelton to power through to the next round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Australian Open picks made at 11:15 a.m. on 01\/16\/25<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I’m featuring two Americans in my picks for the third round of the Australian Open. The pregame narrative: Gael Monfils has been on a tear and can go toe-for-toe against Taylor Fritz. Elsewhere, I’m backing Ben Shelton to cover his game spread against Lorenzo Musetti. Check out my top Australian Open picks for the third […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":321904,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[129],"class_list":["post-321816","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tennis","tag-tennis-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAustralian Open picks and predictions: 2025 third round | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Australian Open picks and predictions. 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