{"id":321679,"date":"2025-01-15T12:07:00","date_gmt":"2025-01-15T17:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=321679"},"modified":"2025-01-15T12:07:00","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T17:07:00","slug":"nfl-parlay-picks-divisional-round-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nfl-parlay-picks-divisional-round-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL divisional round parlay picks: Fade Lamar Jackson, bet on Commanders to cover alt spread"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>There are four NFL divisional round games this weekend, and this +342 parlay has picks from three of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> I don&#8217;t expect the Washington Commanders to upset the top-seeded Detroit Lions, but I do think it&#8217;ll be a relatively tight matchup. I&#8217;m also fading Lamar Jackson in Buffalo and calling on Saquon Barkley to find the end zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my NFL parlay picks for the 2025 divisional round action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL parlay picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/nfl\">NFL playoff betting markets<\/a><\/strong><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:106302\">Embed: #106302<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Parlay: Commanders +14.5 + Barkley anytime TD + Jackson under 219.5 passing yards (+342)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Commanders +14.5 <\/strong>(-240)<\/strong>: Two weeks ago, the Lions&#8217; lasting impression on a franchise-best regular season was a 22-point win over the Minnesota Vikings. That outcome might dissuade you from betting against Detroit in any form or fashion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I don&#8217;t view this as a fade of Detroit, though. I&#8217;m just buying some extra points with the expectation that Washington can keep things interesting like it has all year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jayden Daniels&#8217; NFL debut didn&#8217;t go according to plan. But look at how things have panned out from Week 2 onward:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>13-4 SU<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>11-5-1 ATS<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>4-1-1 ATS as underdogs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Over their past 17 games, all four of the Commanders&#8217; losses have come by one score. They&#8217;ve had plenty of white-knuckle wins, but you could argue that that&#8217;s a good thing, too. The team doesn&#8217;t quit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Lions should absolutely win this game, but I don&#8217;t expect it to be a laugher. Especially given how Daniels can affect the game with his legs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Detroit allowed the most yards per carry to opposing quarterbacks this season (6.2) and the fourth-most QB rush yards (454).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Other parlay picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Barkley anytime TD <\/strong>(-175):<\/strong> Barkley had a big game in the wild-card round, and he probably could&#8217;ve capped it with a massive touchdown run in the final minutes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the game was out of reach, so he opted to slide instead of going for the house call.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some bettors may have been punching the air, but that play won&#8217;t discourage me from going back to Barkley in an A-plus matchup against the Los Angeles Rams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L.A.&#8217;s defence ranked 26th in yards per rush (4.6) this year, and Barkley had quite a hand in that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Back in Week 12, the talented tailback rushed for 255 yards and two TDs against the Rams. As if that wasn&#8217;t enough, he added four catches for 47 yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over his past 12 games, Barkley has scored 10 TDs while averaging 3.9 red zone carries. This is a fantastic spot for him to do damage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong><strong>Jackson under 219.5<\/strong><\/strong> passing yards (-104):<\/strong> In late September, Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens went into Buffalo and emerged with a 35-10 victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite Baltimore&#8217;s 35-point outburst, Jackson wasn&#8217;t needed in a major way as a passer. He threw for just 156 yards on 18 attempts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Less is often more for Jackson, whose running ability is at least as important to the Ravens&#8217; offensive scheme. And then there&#8217;s Derrick Henry, the personification of a bowling ball and a lightning bolt put together.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What I&#8217;m saying is that the Ravens don&#8217;t need tons of passing yards from Jackson in order to put up points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Jackson has gone under 219.5 passing yards in 6\/8 games since Week 11.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In that span, he&#8217;s averaging 209.8 yards.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>He&#8217;s also gone under 200 passing yards in 5\/7 playoff starts (with just 175 yards in the wild-card round vs. Pittsburgh).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>As for the Bills, 7\/9 opposing quarterbacks have gone under 219.5 yards this year in Buffalo.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Zay Flowers&#8217; availability \u2014 or lack thereof \u2014 makes a difference, too. Baltimore&#8217;s leading receiver missed the wild-card game with a knee injury, and there&#8217;s no guarantee he&#8217;ll be back for Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NFL picks made at 11:48 a.m. on 01\/15\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There are four NFL divisional round games this weekend, and this +342 parlay has picks from three of them. The pregame narrative: I don&#8217;t expect the Washington Commanders to upset the top-seeded Detroit Lions, but I do think it&#8217;ll be a relatively tight matchup. I&#8217;m also fading Lamar Jackson in Buffalo and calling on Saquon [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":321701,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[14],"class_list":["post-321679","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-nfl-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NFL parlay picks, predictions for the 2025 divisional round | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our NFL parlay picks for the divisional round. 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