{"id":321354,"date":"2025-01-13T11:40:22","date_gmt":"2025-01-13T16:40:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=321354"},"modified":"2025-01-13T13:11:53","modified_gmt":"2025-01-13T18:11:53","slug":"heat-vs-clippers-sgp-predictions-january-13-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/heat-vs-clippers-sgp-predictions-january-13-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Heat vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions Jan. 13: Fade James Harden but bet on L.A. to win"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-369d1e60-225f-4499-8a7a-3863b6ae8b71\">The Los Angeles Clippers look to lean into their home-court advantage tonight against the Miami Heat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-3a10f6c1-c0af-4156-a32a-495941afe3d5\"><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> L.A. has been one of the league&#8217;s strongest home squads, and I like the Clippers on an alt spread in this +430 SGP. Even so, I think James Harden is worth fading as a scorer while Bam Adebayo should hit the over on his assists prop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-4605d84a-f94f-453c-a11b-9c015351e1d2\">Check out my Heat vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions for Jan. 13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-4605d84a-f94f-453c-a11b-9c015351e1d2\">Heat vs. Clippers predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"insights\"><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba\">NBA betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:106075\">Embed: #106075<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-d6e673fe-4aee-433b-9472-6e1a4b16caa8\"><strong>Parlay: Clippers -3.5 + Harden under 20.5 points + Adebayo over 3.5 assists (+430)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8d40ddec-f295-441e-b03c-67e146f505f0\"><strong><strong>Clippers -3.5 <\/strong>(-186):<\/strong> For the Clippers, getting a stadium all to themselves has been worth the wait.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8d40ddec-f295-441e-b03c-67e146f505f0\">In Year 1 at the Intuit Dome, the Clips are 12-6 straight up and ATS. They also have the NBA&#8217;s top ATS record as home favourites (7-2-0).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In each of its past five games as a home favourite, Los Angeles won by a double-digit margin. That includes victories over the Hawks and Warriors within the past three weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Miami has won three games in a row amid a six-game West Coast swing, but I&#8217;m still not confident backing the Heat in a spot like this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Heat are 8-11 ATS as visitors this season, and they recently lost by 36 points at home against the lowly Jazz (Jan. 4).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-89a1765e-b418-46d4-b497-651bc59723d9\">SGP legs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Harden under 20.5 points (-120):<\/strong> Harden has cleared this point total more often than not this season, but that&#8217;s because of a bloated shot volume.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 16-year vet is shooting a career-low 38.9% from the floor, and that dreadful inefficiency seems to finally be catching up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Look at Harden&#8217;s numbers over his past eight games:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>18.8 PPG<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>37.8 FG%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>28.6 3PT%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Under 20.5 points in 5\/8<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Kawhi Leonard isn&#8217;t on the injury report, so he should be in tonight. If Leonard can get more involved \u2014 after only making his season debut on Jan. 4 \u2014 Harden should be disincentivized to shoot at will.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Adebayo over 3.5 assists<\/strong> (-175):<\/strong> In the right matchup, Adebayo should be cashing this bet with ease. He averages 4.6 assists per game, after all. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And as it turns out, the Clippers look like the type of matchup where Adebayo can take advantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Adebayo has 4+ assists in 3\/5 games vs. LAC since 2022 (finishing with exactly three assists in one of the outliers).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This season, LAC has allowed the third-most assists to opposing centres (4.9\/game), per Betting Pros.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Adebayo has gone over 3.5 assists in 15 of his past 24 games (62.5%), averaging 5.0 APG in that span. Miami doesn&#8217;t have a clear-cut No.1 facilitator, and the veteran centre takes his turn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-049eee7c-fa25-40b8-b13d-7bb92000f313\"><em>Picks made at 11:20 a.m. on 01\/13\/24.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Los Angeles Clippers look to lean into their home-court advantage tonight against the Miami Heat. The pregame narrative: L.A. has been one of the league&#8217;s strongest home squads, and I like the Clippers on an alt spread in this +430 SGP. Even so, I think James Harden is worth fading as a scorer while [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":321412,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-321354","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Heat vs. Clippers predictions Jan. 13: NBA SGP | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Heat vs. Clippers predictions for Jan. 13. 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