{"id":320465,"date":"2025-01-09T14:13:35","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T19:13:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=320465"},"modified":"2025-01-09T14:13:35","modified_gmt":"2025-01-09T19:13:35","slug":"ohio-state-vs-texas-cotton-bowl-prop-picks-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/ohio-state-vs-texas-cotton-bowl-prop-picks-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Ohio State vs. Texas Cotton Bowl prop picks: Fade Quinn Ewers in CFP semifinal vs. former team"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>On Friday, the Ohio State Buckeyes and Texas Longhorns meet in the Cotton Bowl for a berth in the national championship.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The pregame narrative:<\/strong> Ohio State is a 6-point favourite in the second College Football Playoff semifinal. I expect a big game from freshman phenom Jeremiah Smith, and I think Quinn Ewers is worth fading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Check out my Ohio State vs. Texas prop picks for the Cotton Bowl on Jan. 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ohio State vs. Texas prop picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/american_football\/ncaaf\">college football betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:105794\">Embed: #105794<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Best Bet: Smith 90+ receiving yards (-121)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>True freshmen aren&#8217;t supposed to do what Smith has done this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Led the Big Ten in receiving yards (1,224) and receiving TDs (14)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Scored 1+ TDs in 11\/14 games<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Collected 70+ yards in 11\/14 games<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>A lot of folks think Smith is ready to be a top-five NFL draft pick today, and I agree with them. At 19, he plays like a man among boys at the collegiate level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Texas is undoubtedly aware that Smith is the guy to have eyes on. But that doesn&#8217;t mean the Longhorns can stop him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All season long, Texas was regarded as one of the top pass defences in the country. The Longhorns rank No. 2 in defensive EPA per pass and No. 3 in defensive pass success rate, per gameonpaper.com. But they&#8217;ve gotten torched through the air in the CFP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After allowing no more than 211 pass yards to any of its first 13 opponents, Texas allowed 336 pass yards to Clemson and 296 to Arizona State.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both Clemson and Arizona State had a receiver clear this yardage total, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In any one-on-one setting, Jeremiah Smith will have the upper hand. He&#8217;s been a menace in the playoffs so far and that should continue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat:<\/strong> Smith has 100-plus receiving yards in three of his past five games \u2014 cashing this prop in both CFP matchups (290 total receiving yards vs. Tennessee and Oregon).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick pick<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ewers under 239.5 passing yards (-118):<\/strong> Oregon&#8217;s Dillon Gabriel is the only quarterback to throw for more than 201 yards against Ohio State this season. Not that the Buckeyes faced a bunch of A-list college QBs, but that&#8217;s still quite a feat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I like the idea of a revenge game for Ewers, a former No. 1 overall recruit who signed with Ohio State and then transferred before ever throwing a pass. But the numbers don&#8217;t work in his favour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ewers has gone under this mark in four of his past six games, and he&#8217;s about to face arguably the country&#8217;s best defence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ohio State ranks &#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>1st in defensive success rate<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3rd in defensive EPA\/pass<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3rd in sacks\/game<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on the fact Ewers was never replaced by Arch Manning during Texas&#8217; perilous quarterfinal matchup against Arizona State, it seems unlikely he&#8217;d be benched on Friday. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But even if Ewers is on the field the whole time, that doesn&#8217;t mean he&#8217;ll be racking up yards. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 1:25 p.m. ET 01\/09\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Friday, the Ohio State Buckeyes and Texas Longhorns meet in the Cotton Bowl for a berth in the national championship. The pregame narrative: Ohio State is a 6-point favourite in the second College Football Playoff semifinal. I expect a big game from freshman phenom Jeremiah Smith, and I think Quinn Ewers is worth fading. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":320537,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[77],"tags":[50],"class_list":["post-320465","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-college-football-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ohio State vs. Texas prop picks for the Cotton Bowl | NSB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our Ohio State vs. Texas prop picks for the Cotton Bowl. 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Betting analysis for the College Football Playoff semifinal on Jan. 10.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/ohio-state-vs-texas-cotton-bowl-prop-picks-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Boost\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-01-09T19:13:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/nsb-news.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com\/imgs\/2025\/01\/2025-01-01T214136Z_1769608818_MT1USATODAY25096077_RTRMADP_3_NCAA-FOOTBALL-PEACH-BOWL-TEXAS-AT-ARIZONA-STATE-scaled.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2560\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1707\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@JordanHorrobin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jordan Horrobin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/ohio-state-vs-texas-cotton-bowl-prop-picks-2025\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/ohio-state-vs-texas-cotton-bowl-prop-picks-2025\/\",\"name\":\"Ohio State vs. Texas prop picks for the Cotton Bowl | NSB\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-01-09T19:13:35+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-01-09T19:13:35+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/#\/schema\/person\/8e0d7302b14f65be7f61f221a134fc9f\"},\"description\":\"Check out our Ohio State vs. Texas prop picks for the Cotton Bowl. 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