{"id":318918,"date":"2025-01-04T11:21:26","date_gmt":"2025-01-04T16:21:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/?p=318918"},"modified":"2025-01-04T11:21:27","modified_gmt":"2025-01-04T16:21:27","slug":"nba-prop-bets-january-4-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cms.northstargaming.ca\/admin\/nsgcms\/nba-prop-bets-january-4-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Best NBA prop bets Jan. 4: Fade James Harden with Kawhi Leonard expected to return"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\">Saturday&#8217;s NBA prop bets are headlined by Jaren Jackson Jr. and James Harden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-84329f2b-7888-4034-9979-03e8608897e5\"><strong>The pregame narrative<\/strong>: I&#8217;m fading Harden tonight as his rebound\/assist volume has really waned in recent matchups. Earlier on, look for Jackson to stay active as a passer and for Duncan Robinson to fill the net from 3-point range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-8f1effd0-db18-40a8-916e-091372420d9e\">Check out the best NBA prop bets for Jan. 4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"block-0a4ee124-09d4-4260-81c9-fd6fe232dbb3\">NBA prop bets<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Go to full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.northstarbets.ca\/sportsbook\/sports-hub\/basketball\/nba\">NBA betting markets<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"cacheembed:105160\">Embed: #105160<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-479767b6-5872-497b-ac44-239c07c7e3d5\"><strong>Best bet: Jackson over 2.5 assists (-143)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Friday, I backed Jackson over 2.5 assists and cashed it at +105. In fact, it cashed easily on a night in which Jackson had five helpers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Going back to the well comes with a price hike tonight, but I&#8217;m still keen to do so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although Jackson has only averaged 1.9 assists this season (33 games), his current situation has elevated his passing opportunities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ja Morant, the Memphis Grizzlies&#8217; star point guard and assist leader, is out with a shoulder injury. Other players have had to step up in his absence, and Jackson is one of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>With Morant out for the past three games, Jackson has tallied 13 assists and cashed this bet each time.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Jackson has 3+ assists in six straight now, averaging 4.2 APG in that span.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In his past six matchups, Jackson has generated 6.7 potential assists per game (i.e., passes that led to immediate shots). If that trend continues, clearing 2.5 assists should be a cinch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Grizzlies are on a back-to-back, which hopefully won&#8217;t affect Jackson&#8217;s workload much. And their opponent, the Golden State Warriors, are a good team for him to attack as a passer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key stat<\/strong>: Golden State allows the third-most assists per game to opposing centres (4.8), per Betting Pros.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick picks<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Robinson over 2.5 threes (-121)<\/strong>: The Jimmy Butler saga took an interesting turn Friday, as the Miami Heat suspended their star veteran following his public trade request. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Miami had already been weaning off Butler since the back half of December. The six-time all-star played in only three of the team&#8217;s past eight games, attempting just 11 total shots in those matchups. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And in that time, Robinson has been one of the players filling in the gaps on offence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Robinson has 3+ threes in 7\/11 games since Dec. 7.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In that span, he&#8217;s shooting 41.9% from 3-point range.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Tonight&#8217;s opponent, the Utah Jazz, is one that Robinson should be encouraged to attack from deep. The Jazz allow the fifth-most attempted 3s per game (39.6) and the ninth-highest 3PT% (36.5).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Harden under 12.5 rebounds\/assists (+107)<\/strong>: Kawhi Leonard is reportedly expected to make his season debut tonight, which is certainly good news for the Los Angeles Clippers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But what will it mean for Harden? After all, Leonard has averaged 6.5 rebounds and 4.4 assists in his four years with L.A.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harden is averaging 13.9 RA this season, so taking the under at 12.5 RA for tonight might seem questionable. But I do think some of those opportunities will be ceded to Leonard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, Harden has struggled against this number in recent weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since Dec. 3, Harden has averaged 9.1 RA and hit this under in nine of 10 games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Picks made at 11:00 a.m. ET on 01\/04\/2025.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Saturday&#8217;s NBA prop bets are headlined by Jaren Jackson Jr. and James Harden. The pregame narrative: I&#8217;m fading Harden tonight as his rebound\/assist volume has really waned in recent matchups. Earlier on, look for Jackson to stay active as a passer and for Duncan Robinson to fill the net from 3-point range. Check out the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":318984,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sidebar_plugin_meta_block_field":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[62],"tags":[12],"class_list":["post-318918","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nba","tag-nba-betting"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>NBA prop bets Jan. 4: Picks, predictions &amp; odds | NorthStar Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Check out our best NBA prop bets for Jan. 4, 2025. 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